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Sampaio Correa FE U20 vs Madureira U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca U20
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
45' Event
Santiago J.

AI Match Summary

The Carioca U20 game between Sampaio Correa FE U20 and Madureira U20 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sampaio Correa FE U20
35%
Draws
29%
Madureira U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sampaio Correa FE U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Madureira U20 come out ahead of Sampaio Correa FE U20 on wins alone.
  • 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Sampaio Correa FE U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Madureira U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sampaio Correa FE U20 Madureira U20
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 8 11
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Carioca U20
Sampaio Correa FE U20 vs Madureira U20
1:1
Oct 11, 2025 Carioca U20
Madureira U20 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20
2:1
Apr 12, 2025 Copa Rio U20
Sampaio Correa FE U20 vs Madureira U20
0:1
Jun 29, 2024 Carioca U20
Sampaio Correa FE U20 vs Madureira U20
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sampaio Correa FE U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Madureira U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Santiago J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sampaio Correa FE U20 31 / 100
Madureira U20 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sampaio Correa FE U20 Madureira U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Madureira U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Madureira U20 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Sampaio Correa FE U20 found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sampaio Correa FE U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sampaio Correa FE U20 VS Madureira U20
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sampaio Correa FE U20

(Home)
10 Oct
Sampaio Correa FE U20
1 : 1
Madureira U20
02 Oct
Flamengo RJ U20
3 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE U20
27 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE U20
3 : 1
Boavista U20
19 Sept
Fluminense U20
5 : 1
Sampaio Correa FE U20
12 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE U20
1 : 1
Nova Iguacu U20
Page 1 of 6

Madureira U20

(Away)
10 Oct
Sampaio Correa FE U20
1 : 1
Madureira U20
03 Oct
Madureira U20
1 : 1
Boavista U20
30 Sept
Madureira U20
0 : 1
Vasco U20
27 Sept
Nova Iguacu U20
2 : 2
Madureira U20
19 Sept
Madureira U20
0 : 0
Portuguesa RJ U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense U20 10 8 2 0 26:7 26
2 Flamengo RJ U20 9 8 0 1 25:8 24
3 Vasco U20 9 7 1 1 17:6 22
4 Botafogo RJ U20 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
5 Sampaio Correa FE U20 10 4 3 3 13:18 15
6 Bangu U20 9 3 2 4 11:12 11
7 Nova Iguacu U20 10 2 4 4 11:17 10
8 Madureira U20 10 1 7 2 11:14 10
9 Marica U20 10 2 2 6 11:18 8
10 Boavista U20 10 2 2 6 12:21 8
11 Portuguesa RJ U20 10 1 2 7 7:16 5
12 Volta Redonda U20 10 1 2 7 7:19 5
Promotion - Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara - Play Offs)