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Sampaio Correa FE vs EC Juventude

Brazil Brazil

Copa Sul-Sudeste Estadio Lourival Gomes
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Elias
20'
Davi Goes
35'
Pablo

AI Match Summary

The Copa Sul-Sudeste game between Sampaio Correa FE and EC Juventude finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sampaio Correa FE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Sampaio Correa FE
28%
Draws
50%
EC Juventude
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: EC Juventude

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • EC Juventude carry the better recent record into this one.
  • EC Juventude are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Sampaio Correa FE Clean Sheet 19%
EC Juventude Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sampaio Correa FE EC Juventude
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
Sampaio Correa FE vs EC Juventude
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sampaio Correa FE Compare

Top Goalscorer Elias
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cruz Manhaes O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

EC Juventude Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sampaio Correa FE 24 / 100
EC Juventude 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sampaio Correa FE EC Juventude

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JUV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sampaio Correa FE found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Sampaio Correa FE remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

EC Juventude's defensive record shows goals conceded in 45% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sampaio Correa FE VS EC Juventude
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chapecoense-SC64118:513
2Novorizontino63218:511
3SER Caxias do Sul63216:311
4Cianorte62229:108
5Tombense612311:135
6Sampaio Correa FE61237:95
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avai631210:810
2Volta Redonda63129:810
3Operario-PR62315:49
4America MG622211:118
5EC Juventude61144:94
6Sao Bernardo60336:93