Sport Picks
Sampaio Correa FE vs Nova Iguacu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Copa Rio 
Match Events
37'
37'
Leo Muchacho
(Penalty)
45'
45'
Luan Gama
67'
67'
Xandinho
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sampaio Correa FE
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sampaio Correa FE have won more games recently than Nova Iguacu.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Sampaio Correa FE taking it.
- Sampaio Correa FE have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sampaio Correa FE, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sampaio Correa FE Clean Sheet 68%
Nova Iguacu Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sampaio Correa FE | Nova Iguacu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.06 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2026 Copa Rio
Sampaio Correa FE vs Nova Iguacu
2:1
Aug 26, 2026 Copa Rio
Nova Iguacu vs Sampaio Correa FE
2:0
May 16, 2026 Serie D
Nova Iguacu vs Sampaio Correa FE
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 Serie D
Sampaio Correa FE vs Nova Iguacu
1:0
Mar 8, 2026 Carioca
Nova Iguacu vs Sampaio Correa FE
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sampaio Correa FE Compare
Top Goalscorer Luan Gama
1 Goals Assists Leader Elias
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Nova Iguacu Compare
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sampaio Correa FE 50 / 100
Nova Iguacu 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sampaio Correa FE Nova Iguacu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sampaio Correa FE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sampaio Correa FE found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).
Defensive concern: Nova Iguacu conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Sampaio Correa FE has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sampaio Correa FE VS Nova Iguacu
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
25% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sampaio Correa FE
(Home) 23 Sept
Madureira
0 : 2 Sampaio Correa FE
16 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 1 Madureira
02 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 1 Nova Iguacu
26 Aug
Nova Iguacu
2 : 0 Sampaio Correa FE
12 Aug
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 0 Sao Goncalo
Page 1 of 7
16 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 1 Madureira
02 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 1 Nova Iguacu
12 Aug
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 0 Sao Goncalo
22 Jul
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 0 Resende
20 Jun
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 1 Portuguesa
Page 1 of 4
Nova Iguacu
(Away) 26 Sept
Boavista
2 : 0 Nova Iguacu
19 Sept
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1 Boavista
02 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 1 Nova Iguacu
26 Aug
Nova Iguacu
2 : 0 Sampaio Correa FE
12 Aug
Nova Iguacu
0 : 0 Olaria
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Boavista
2 : 0 Nova Iguacu
02 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 1 Nova Iguacu
05 Aug
Olaria
0 : 1 Nova Iguacu
15 Jul
America RJ
0 : 1 Nova Iguacu
08 Jul
Fluminense
6 : 1 Nova Iguacu
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Americano 2
Macae 1
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ -
Cabofriense 1
Bonsucesso 3
TBD -
Madureira -
Perolas Negras 10
Santa Cruz RJ 1
TBD -
Marica -
CEAC/Araruama 2
Sao Cristovao 1
TBD -
Boavista -
Olaria 6
Duque de Caxias 0
TBD -
Bangu -
America RJ -
Goytacaz -
TBD -
Nova Iguacu -
Sao Goncalo 3
Serrano FC 2
TBD -
Volta Redonda -
Resende 11
Belford Roxo 2
TBD -
Sampaio Correa FE -
1/8-finals
Americano 1
Portuguesa RJ 2
Bonsucesso 3
Madureira 4
Perolas Negras 0
Marica 3
CEAC/Araruama 0
Boavista 5
Olaria 3
Bangu 1
America RJ 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Sao Goncalo 2
Volta Redonda 1
Resende 0
Sampaio Correa FE 3
Quarter-finals
Portuguesa RJ 1
Madureira 2
Marica 1
Boavista 3
Olaria 0
Nova Iguacu 1
Sao Goncalo 0
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Semi-finals
Madureira 0
Boavista 2
Nova Iguacu 3
Sampaio Correa FE 2
Final
Boavista 3
Nova Iguacu 1
Madureira 1
Sampaio Correa FE 3
