Sport Picks

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Sampaio Correa FE vs Rio Sao Paulo

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Carioca B1 2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sampaio Correa FE play Rio Sao Paulo in the Campeonato Carioca B1 2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sampaio Correa FE averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. Rio Sao Paulo averaged 0.85 goals scored and 1.81 conceded. In past meetings, Sampaio Correa FE won 0, Rio Sao Paulo won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 21, 2020 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Sampaio Correa FE and 1.19 for Rio Sao Paulo. This points to a Sampaio Correa FE double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sampaio Correa FE
29%
Draws
31%
Rio Sao Paulo
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Sampaio Correa FE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Sampaio Correa FE picked up more points recently compared to Rio Sao Paulo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Sampaio Correa FE Clean Sheet 20%
Rio Sao Paulo Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sampaio Correa FE Rio Sao Paulo
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 8 6
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.1 0.85
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.81

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 21, 2020 Carioca 2
Sampaio Correa FE vs Rio Sao Paulo
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sampaio Correa FE 40 / 100
Rio Sao Paulo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sampaio Correa FE Rio Sao Paulo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sampaio Correa FE or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sampaio Correa FE attacking → ← attacking Rio Sao Paulo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sampaio Correa FE scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Rio Sao Paulo let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Sampaio Correa FE went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Rio Sao Paulo lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 25
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Marica851210:716
2Duque de Caxias843116:615
3Goncalense843112:715
4Serra Macaense840412:1512
5Olaria832314:1211
6Nova Cidade83236:1111
7Rio Sao Paulo81619:89
8Serrano FC82249:118
9Audax RJ821510:137
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nova Iguacu963016:521
2Sampaio Correa FE953121:918
3Artsul943214:815
4Goytacaz934212:1013
5Angra dos Reis93158:1310
6Sao Goncalo92345:89
7Campos AA911710:244
8Bonsucesso90274:212