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Sampaio Correa U20 vs Madureira U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sampaio Correa U20 play Madureira U20 in the Copa Rio U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sampaio Correa U20 averaged 1.22 goals scored and 2 conceded. Madureira U20 averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Sampaio Correa U20 won 1, Madureira U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 5, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.79 for Sampaio Correa U20 and 1.68 for Madureira U20. This points to a Sampaio Correa U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Sampaio Correa U20
21%
Draws
36%
Madureira U20
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Sampaio Correa U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Sampaio Correa U20 picked up more points recently compared to Madureira U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.79 vs 1.68 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Sampaio Correa U20 Clean Sheet 13%
Madureira U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sampaio Correa U20 Madureira U20
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.22 0.93
Goals Conceded 2 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.57 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.86 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Sampaio Correa U20 vs Madureira U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sampaio Correa U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilcker
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopes K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.79

Madureira U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sampaio Correa U20 41 / 100
Madureira U20 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sampaio Correa U20 Madureira U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sampaio Correa U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sampaio Correa U20 attacking → ← attacking Madureira U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sampaio Correa U20 scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Madureira U20 let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sampaio Correa U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Madureira U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 36
1.57 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.86 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Fluminense U20752017:217
2Bangu U2075029:415
3Botafogo RJ U20743019:315
4Portuguesa RJ U20731311:910
5Boavista U2073045:99
6Resende U2072238:178
7Olaria U2071153:134
8Volta Redonda U2070165:201
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1America RJ U20760116:818
2Vasco U20750218:815
3Flamengo RJ U20740321:1012
4Sampaio Correa U20731311:1310
5Madureira U2073136:1010
6Nova Iguacu U2072146:127
7Cabofriense U2072147:187
8Marica U2071065:113