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Stadium Background

Sampaio Correa vs Chapadinha

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2024 Estádio Governador João Castelo
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Pimentinha
80' Event
Adauto Junior

AI Match Summary

The Maranhense 2024 game between Sampaio Correa and Chapadinha finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sampaio Correa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sampaio Correa
6%
Draws
4%
Chapadinha
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sampaio Correa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Chapadinha haven't matched Sampaio Correa's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Sampaio Correa taking it.
  • Regular Maranhense 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sampaio Correa have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Sampaio Correa Clean Sheet 68%
Chapadinha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sampaio Correa Chapadinha
Matches Played 43 21
Wins 19 4
Draws 17 4
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2024 Maranhense
Chapadinha vs Sampaio Correa
0:3
Jan 24, 2024 Maranhense
Sampaio Correa vs Chapadinha
2:0
Jan 14, 2023 Maranhense
Sampaio Correa vs Chapadinha
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sampaio Correa Compare

Top Goalscorer Pimentinha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adauto Junior
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Chapadinha Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sampaio Correa 95 / 100
Chapadinha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sampaio Correa Chapadinha

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chapadinha let in goals in 90% of their last 21 matches.

Attacking prowess: Sampaio Correa scored in 67% of their last 43 outings.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sampaio Correa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sampaio Correa VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maranhao1494127:931
2Sampaio Correa1484224:1328
3Imperatriz1474317:1225
4Moto Club1445515:2017
5Pinheiro1428420:1914
6Tuntum1454519:2313
7Chapadinha1423911:239
8Cordino EC1414914:287