Sport Picks
Sampaio Correa vs Tuntum
Brazil
Maranhense 2025 Estádio Governador João Castelo 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Sampaio Correa host Tuntum in the Maranhense 2025. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Sampaio Correa have averaged 1.13 scored and 0.63 conceded recently, against Tuntum's 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded. Head-to-head, Sampaio Correa have won 3 to Tuntum's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 28, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.26 xG vs 1.11) point toward Sampaio Correa. Sampaio Correa in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Sampaio Correa has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Tuntum.
- Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Sampaio Correa.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Maranhense 2025 provide steady trend data.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sampaio Correa | Tuntum |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 15 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.60 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sampaio Correa Compare
Tuntum Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sampaio Correa scored in 63% of their last 35 games.
Tuntum let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Sampaio Correa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Tuntum lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IAPE | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 18:13 | 24 |
| 2 | Sampaio Correa | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 18:11 | 23 |
| 3 | Imperatriz | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17:10 | 23 |
| 4 | Maranhao | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 16:10 | 23 |
| 5 | Moto Club | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 15:9 | 23 |
| 6 | Tuntum | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 7 | Pinheiro | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 13:15 | 16 |
| 8 | Viana | 14 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 5:36 | 3 |