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Sampdoria vs Catanzaro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
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Match Events

17'
Henderson L.
17'
Iemmello P.
38'
Gartenmann S.

AI Match Summary

Sampdoria in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sampdoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Sampdoria
35%
Draws
28%
Catanzaro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sampdoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Catanzaro at 1.72 per game, Sampdoria at 0.83.
  • Model gives Sampdoria a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sampdoria Clean Sheet 16%
Catanzaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sampdoria Catanzaro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.83 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Catanzaro
2:1
Jan 25, 2026 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Sampdoria
0:0
Oct 1, 2025 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Catanzaro
0:0
May 4, 2025 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Sampdoria
2:2
Nov 30, 2024 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Catanzaro
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sampdoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Insigne L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Begic T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Catanzaro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sampdoria 48 / 100
Catanzaro 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sampdoria Catanzaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sampdoria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catanzaro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Sampdoria scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Sampdoria went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sampdoria VS Catanzaro
1 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sampdoria

(Home)
31 Oct
Sampdoria
2 : 0
Entella
27 Oct
Ascoli
2 : 0
Sampdoria
24 Oct
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Sampdoria
18 Oct
Sampdoria
1 : 2
Arezzo
09 Oct
Avellino
4 : 1
Sampdoria
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Catanzaro

(Away)
31 Oct
Catanzaro
1 : 1
Padova
27 Oct
Benevento
1 : 1
Catanzaro
24 Oct
Catanzaro
1 : 6
Ascoli
16 Oct
Verona
2 : 2
Catanzaro
11 Oct
Catanzaro
1 : 3
Mantova
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 10 8 2 0 24:12 26
2 Modena 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
3 Ascoli 10 5 4 1 16:6 19
4 Mantova 10 5 3 2 15:11 18
5 Avellino 10 4 3 3 15:10 15
6 Benevento 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
7 Verona 10 4 3 3 19:13 15
8 Pisa 10 4 3 3 18:15 15
9 Padova 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
10 Sudtirol 10 3 5 2 11:10 14
11 Cremonese 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
12 Cesena 10 2 6 2 11:14 12
13 Arezzo 10 3 2 5 9:19 11
14 Entella 10 2 4 4 11:12 10
15 Carrarese 10 3 1 6 9:13 10
16 Juve Stabia 10 3 4 3 11:11 9
17 Vicenza 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
18 Empoli 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
19 Sampdoria 10 2 2 6 10:18 8
20 Catanzaro 10 1 3 6 11:22 6
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)