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Sampdoria vs Catanzaro

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
VS
03:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sampdoria host Catanzaro in the Serie B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Sampdoria have averaged 0.86 scored and 1.21 conceded recently, against Catanzaro's 1.83 scored and 1.4 conceded. Head-to-head, Sampdoria have won 1 to Catanzaro's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Jan 25, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.44) point toward Catanzaro. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Sampdoria
15%
Draws
64%
Catanzaro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Catanzaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Sampdoria haven't matched Catanzaro's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Sampdoria Clean Sheet 16%
Catanzaro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sampdoria Catanzaro
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.86 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Sampdoria
0:0
Oct 1, 2025 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Catanzaro
0:0
May 4, 2025 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Sampdoria
2:2
Nov 30, 2024 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Catanzaro
3:3
May 10, 2024 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Sampdoria
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sampdoria 36 / 100
Catanzaro 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sampdoria Catanzaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Catanzaro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sampdoria's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Catanzaro let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Catanzaro lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sampdoria VS Catanzaro
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sampdoria

(Home)
13 Sept
Mantova
2 : 0
Sampdoria
07 Sept
Palermo
3 : 1
Sampdoria
29 Aug
Sampdoria
1 : 2
Juve Stabia
23 Aug
Cesena
1 : 1
Sampdoria
17 Aug
Cremonese
2 : 0
Sampdoria
Page 1 of 6

Catanzaro

(Away)
12 Sept
Catanzaro
1 : 0
Carrarese
05 Sept
Sudtirol
2 : 0
Catanzaro
30 Aug
Pisa
2 : 1
Catanzaro
21 Aug
Vicenza
3 : 2
Catanzaro
15 Aug
Catanzaro
2 : 3
Sudtirol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mantova 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
2 Palermo 4 3 1 0 8:4 10
3 Sudtirol 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
4 Avellino 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
5 Padova 4 2 1 1 4:4 7
6 Modena 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
7 Ascoli 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
8 Cesena 4 1 3 0 6:5 6
9 Pisa 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
10 Empoli 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
11 Arezzo 4 2 0 2 5:9 6
12 Vicenza 4 1 2 1 6:8 5
13 Benevento 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
14 Entella 4 1 1 2 7:6 4
15 Cremonese 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
16 Verona 4 1 1 2 8:6 4
17 Catanzaro 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
18 Juve Stabia 4 1 1 2 3:6 2
19 Carrarese 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
20 Sampdoria 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)