Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sampdoria vs Monza

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Cutrone P.
Assist: Delli Carri F.
13' Event
Caso G.
Assist: Cutrone P.
15'
Lucchesi L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2025/2026 game between Sampdoria and Monza finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sampdoria
40%
Draws
29%
Monza
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Monza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sampdoria Clean Sheet 18%
Monza Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sampdoria Monza
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 11 20
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 0.75 2
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Monza
0:3
Sep 20, 2025 Serie B
Monza vs Sampdoria
1:0
Feb 6, 2023 Serie A
Monza vs Sampdoria
2:2
Oct 2, 2022 Serie A
Sampdoria vs Monza
0:3
Jun 3, 2001 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Monza
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sampdoria Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Monza Compare

Top Goalscorer Cutrone P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caso G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sampdoria 32 / 100
Monza 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sampdoria Monza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Sampdoria scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Sampdoria went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Monza has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sampdoria VS Monza
0.75 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sampdoria

(Home)
23 Jul
Sampdoria
0 : 0
Cagliari
18 Jul
Sampdoria
2 : 0
Taverne
08 May
Reggiana
1 : 0
Sampdoria
01 May
Sampdoria
1 : 0
Sudtirol
25 Apr
Cesena
0 : 0
Sampdoria
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Monza

(Away)
24 Jul
Galatasaray
0 : 2
Monza
18 Jul
Monza
4 : 3
Pro Vercelli
29 May
Monza
0 : 2
Catanzaro
24 May
Catanzaro
0 : 2
Monza
19 May
Monza
2 : 1
Juve Stabia
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Venezia382410477:3182
2Frosinone382312376:3481
3Monza382210661:3276
4Palermo382012661:3372
5Catanzaro381514962:5159
6Modena3815101349:3655
7Juve Stabia381118944:4551
8Avellino3813101543:5549
9Mantova381371845:5746
10Padova3812101639:4946
11Cesena3812101645:5646
12Carrarese3810141447:5244
13Sampdoria3811111635:4844
14Entella3810121636:5142
15Empoli389141547:5441
16Sudtirol388171338:4841
17Bari3810101838:6040
18Reggiana389101936:5637
19Spezia388111943:5935
20Pescara387141751:6635
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)