Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sampdoria vs Monza

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Cutrone P.
Assist: Delli Carri F.
13' Event
Caso G.
Assist: Cutrone P.
15'
Lucchesi L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2025/2026 game between Sampdoria and Monza finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sampdoria
20%
Draws
51%
Monza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Monza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Monza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Sampdoria Clean Sheet 11%
Monza Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sampdoria Monza
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 18
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 0.9 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Monza
0:3
Sep 20, 2025 Serie B
Monza vs Sampdoria
1:0
Feb 6, 2023 Serie A
Monza vs Sampdoria
2:2
Oct 2, 2022 Serie A
Sampdoria vs Monza
0:3
Jun 3, 2001 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Monza
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sampdoria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Monza Compare

Top Goalscorer Cutrone P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caso G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sampdoria 35 / 100
Monza 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sampdoria Monza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Sampdoria scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Monza let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Sampdoria has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sampdoria VS Monza
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sampdoria

(Home)
19 Sept
Sampdoria
2 : 1
Catanzaro
13 Sept
Mantova
2 : 0
Sampdoria
07 Sept
Palermo
3 : 1
Sampdoria
29 Aug
Sampdoria
1 : 2
Juve Stabia
23 Aug
Cesena
1 : 1
Sampdoria
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Monza

(Away)
18 Sept
Monza
2 : 1
Sassuolo
13 Sept
Lecce
3 : 2
Monza
06 Sept
Parma
1 : 1
Monza
01 Sept
Torino
0 : 1
Monza
29 Aug
Monza
2 : 3
Udinese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)