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Sampdoria vs Novara Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Novara in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Novara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sampdoria
30%
Draws
39%
Novara
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Novara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Novara at 1.17 per game, Sampdoria at 0.9.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sampdoria Clean Sheet 16%
Novara Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sampdoria Novara
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.9 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Sampdoria vs Novara
1:2
Aug 6, 2025 Club Friendly
Sampdoria vs Novara
0:0
Aug 6, 2023 Club Friendly
Novara vs Sampdoria
0:1
Apr 29, 1956 Serie A
Sampdoria vs Novara
1:1
Dec 21, 1955 Serie A
Novara vs Sampdoria
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sampdoria 31 / 100
Novara 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sampdoria Novara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sampdoria's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Novara's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Sampdoria went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sampdoria VS Novara
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sampdoria

(Home)
19 Sept
Sampdoria
2 : 1
Catanzaro
13 Sept
Mantova
2 : 0
Sampdoria
07 Sept
Palermo
3 : 1
Sampdoria
29 Aug
Sampdoria
1 : 2
Juve Stabia
23 Aug
Cesena
1 : 1
Sampdoria
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Novara

(Away)
26 Sept
Novara
0 : 2
Ospitaletto
20 Sept
Novara
2 : 2
Carpi
17 Sept
Lumezzane
0 : 0
Novara
13 Sept
Novara
0 : 1
Pergolettese
07 Sept
Renate
1 : 2
Novara
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