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Samsunspor vs Amedspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu, Samsun
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Samsunspor host Amedspor in the Super Lig. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Amedspor have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Samsunspor have conceded 1.47 and scored 1.37. Past meetings favor Samsunspor slightly — 2-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 19, 2020, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 2.06) point toward Amedspor. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Samsunspor
20%
Draws
80%
Amedspor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Amedspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Amedspor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Amedspor's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Samsunspor Clean Sheet 10%
Amedspor Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samsunspor Amedspor
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 15
Draws 5 10
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 1.37 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2020 2. Lig White Group
Samsunspor vs Amedspor
3:0
Oct 9, 2019 2. Lig White Group
Amedspor vs Samsunspor
0:0
Jan 20, 2019 2. Lig White Group
Amedspor vs Samsunspor
3:2
Sep 2, 2018 2. Lig White Group
Samsunspor vs Amedspor
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samsunspor 10 / 100
Amedspor 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samsunspor Amedspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amedspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samsunspor's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Amedspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Samsunspor VS Amedspor
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Samsunspor

(Home)
10 Oct
Samsunspor
0 : 3
Trabzonspor
20 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0
Samsunspor
12 Sept
Samsunspor
1 : 5
Corum FK
06 Sept
Kocaelispor
1 : 0
Samsunspor
30 Aug
Samsunspor
0 : 2
Fenerbahce
Page 1 of 6

Amedspor

(Away)
10 Oct
Genclerbirligi
2 : 2
Amedspor
20 Sept
Amedspor
3 : 2
Besiktas
13 Sept
Amedspor
5 : 0
Basaksehir
06 Sept
Kasimpasa
2 : 2
Amedspor
31 Aug
Amedspor
2 : 1
Trabzonspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 7 5 1 1 16:11 16
2 Besiktas 7 5 0 2 16:8 15
3 Amedspor 7 4 2 1 17:9 14
4 Fenerbahce 7 4 1 2 19:6 13
5 Trabzonspor 7 4 1 2 16:5 13
6 Corum FK 8 4 1 3 18:13 13
7 Alanyaspor 7 3 3 1 8:6 12
8 Kocaelispor 7 4 0 3 8:6 12
9 Erzurumspor FK 8 3 2 3 5:11 11
10 Kasimpasa 7 2 4 1 8:8 10
11 Rizespor 8 3 1 4 8:11 10
12 Basaksehir 7 2 2 3 10:11 8
13 Gaziantep 7 2 2 3 7:10 8
14 Genclerbirligi 7 2 2 3 7:15 8
15 Goztepe 7 1 3 3 15:15 6
16 Konyaspor 7 1 2 4 4:8 5
17 Samsunspor 7 1 1 5 6:15 4
18 Eyupspor 8 1 0 7 2:22 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)