Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Samtredia vs Dusheti

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium, Samtredia
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Gagnidze O.
Assist: Makatsaria T.
35' Event
Makatsaria T.
Assist: Gagnidze O.
40'
Gognadze T.

AI Match Summary

Samtredia in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Samtredia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Samtredia
15%
Draws
21%
Dusheti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samtredia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Dusheti have won more games recently than Samtredia.
  • Model gives Samtredia a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Samtredia Clean Sheet 68%
Dusheti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samtredia Dusheti
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.77 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Dusheti vs Samtredia
2:4
May 6, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs Dusheti
2:0
Mar 7, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Dusheti vs Samtredia
2:1
Jul 21, 2024 Georgian Cup
Dusheti vs Samtredia
0:2
Feb 14, 2024 Club Friendly
Samtredia vs Dusheti
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Samtredia Compare

Top Goalscorer Gagnidze O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Makatsaria T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Dusheti Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samtredia 95 / 100
Dusheti 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samtredia Dusheti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samtredia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samtredia found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Dusheti has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Samtredia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Samtredia VS Dusheti
2.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Samtredia

(Home)
20 Sept
Samtredia
5 : 0
Merani Martvili
16 Sept
Kolkheti 1913
1 : 0
Samtredia
12 Sept
Samtredia
6 : 1
FC Gareji Sagarejo
07 Sept
Telavi
0 : 3
Samtredia
02 Sept
Samtredia
2 : 0
Iberia 1999
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Dusheti

(Away)
20 Sept
Bolnisi
1 : 2
Dusheti
16 Sept
Dusheti
0 : 1
Odishi 1919
12 Sept
Merani Martvili
3 : 1
Dusheti
06 Sept
Dusheti
3 : 4
Shturmi
30 Aug
Kolkheti 1913
1 : 1
Dusheti
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 27 14 8 5 35:28 50
2 Telavi 27 11 10 6 29:25 43
3 Shturmi 27 11 10 6 29:23 43
4 Merani Martvili 27 10 7 10 30:34 37
5 Samtredia 27 11 4 12 48:40 37
6 Dusheti 27 10 5 12 30:37 35
7 Bolnisi 27 8 9 10 35:34 33
8 Odishi 1919 27 8 8 11 29:37 32
9 Kolkheti 1913 27 6 10 11 34:33 28
10 Gori 27 6 9 12 27:35 27
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)