Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Samtredia vs Shevardeni Tbilisi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2022
Mon, Oct 3, 2022
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Samtredia host Shevardeni Tbilisi in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2022. This one's hard to separate. Samtredia have averaged 1.77 scored and 1.43 conceded recently, against Shevardeni Tbilisi's 1.14 scored and 1.43 conceded. Past meetings favor Samtredia slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 2, 2022, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.23 - 1.56) back Samtredia to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Samtredia
15%
Draws
26%
Shevardeni Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samtredia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Samtredia have won more games recently than Shevardeni Tbilisi.
  • Model gives Samtredia a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Samtredia Clean Sheet 15%
Shevardeni Tbilisi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samtredia Shevardeni Tbilisi
Matches Played 30 7
Wins 13 2
Draws 4 1
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.77 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 2, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shevardeni Tbilisi vs Samtredia
0:0
Oct 3, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs Shevardeni Tbilisi
0:0
Jul 3, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shevardeni Tbilisi vs Samtredia
0:0
Apr 28, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs Shevardeni Tbilisi
1:2
Oct 18, 2019 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shevardeni Tbilisi vs Samtredia
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samtredia 84 / 100
Shevardeni Tbilisi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samtredia Shevardeni Tbilisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samtredia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samtredia found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Shevardeni Tbilisi conceded in 86% of 7 recent games.

Solid form: Samtredia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Shevardeni Tbilisi registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Samtredia VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Samtredia

(Home)
26 Sept
Samtredia
1 : 2
FC Rustavi
20 Sept
Samtredia
5 : 0
Merani Martvili
16 Sept
Kolkheti 1913
1 : 0
Samtredia
12 Sept
Samtredia
6 : 1
FC Gareji Sagarejo
07 Sept
Telavi
0 : 3
Samtredia
Page 1 of 6

Shevardeni Tbilisi

(Away)
22 May
Shevardeni Tbilisi
0 : 1
Merani Martvili
16 May
FC Zugdidi
0 : 0
Shevardeni Tbilisi
10 May
Shevardeni Tbilisi
2 : 3
Spaeri
05 May
Shukura
2 : 1
Shevardeni Tbilisi
28 Apr
Samtredia
1 : 2
Shevardeni Tbilisi
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shukura 28 19 3 6 52:23 60
2 Spaeri 28 15 6 7 57:35 51
3 Samtredia 28 14 6 8 43:28 48
4 Merani Martvili 28 12 6 10 55:53 42
5 FC Gareji Sagarejo 28 10 6 12 38:36 36
6 Merani Tbilisi 28 10 4 14 34:56 34
7 FC Rustavi 28 6 5 17 34:54 23
8 WIT Georgia 28 5 6 17 30:58 21
9 FC Zugdidi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Shevardeni Tbilisi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2023 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2022 (Relegation)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2022 (Relegation)