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Samtredia vs Shturmi

Georgia Georgia

Georgian Cup
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Georgian Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Samtredia have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against Shturmi's 0.88 scored and 0.88 conceded. Head-to-head, Samtredia have won 0 to Shturmi's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.31, favoring Shturmi. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Samtredia
33%
Draws
40%
Shturmi
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Shturmi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shturmi lately — more wins on the board than Samtredia.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Shturmi taking it.
  • Shturmi arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Samtredia Clean Sheet 18%
Shturmi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samtredia Shturmi
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 9 15
Draws 7 12
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs Shturmi
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shturmi vs Samtredia
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samtredia 28 / 100
Shturmi 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samtredia Shturmi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Samtredia scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Shturmi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 32 matches.

Solid form: Samtredia remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Samtredia VS Shturmi
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Samtredia

(Home)
22 Jun
Bolnisi
3 : 2
Samtredia
17 Jun
Merani Martvili
2 : 1
Samtredia
13 Jun
Samtredia
2 : 2
Kolkheti 1913
30 May
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 2
Samtredia
24 May
Samtredia
0 : 3
Telavi
Page 1 of 7

Shturmi

(Away)
26 Jun
West Georgia
0 : 2
Shturmi
22 Jun
Kolkheti 1913
0 : 0
Shturmi
17 Jun
FC Gareji Sagarejo
0 : 0
Shturmi
13 Jun
Shturmi
0 : 2
Telavi
30 May
Odishi 1919
2 : 1
Shturmi
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
FC Rustavi 22
Orbi3
TBD-
Dinamo Batumi-
Torpedo Kutaisi 20
Margveti 20064
TBD-
Iberia 1999-
Kolkheti 1913-
TBD-
Zooveti Tbilisi0
Dusheti2
Skuri Tsalenjikha3
Dinamo Tbilisi 24
TBD-
Spaeri-
Dinamo Sokhumi0
Gonio3
TBD-
Meshakhte Tkibuli-
Basa2
Locomotive Tbilisi1
TBD-
FC Gareji Sagarejo-
Mertskhali1
Gori3
TBD-
Bolnisi-
Dmanisi0
WIT Georgia3
TBD-
Samgurali-
Merani Martvili 21
Iberia 1999 22
TBD-
Telavi-
Merani Martvili-
TBD-
Gagra 21
Odishi 19192
Guria6
Merani Tbilisi1
TBD-
Dinamo Tbilisi-
Samtredia-
TBD-
West Georgia0
Shturmi2
FC Gardabani1
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi5
TBD-
Dila Gori-
Iveria Khashuri5
Betlemi Keda4
TBD-
Torpedo Kutaisi-
Aragvelebi0
FC Tbilisi 20254
TBD-
FC Rustavi-
Samtskhe4
Didube1
TBD-
Gagra-
1/16-finals
Orbi-
Dinamo Batumi-
Margveti 2006-
Iberia 1999-
Kolkheti 1913-
Dusheti-
Dinamo Tbilisi 2-
Spaeri-
Gonio-
Meshakhte Tkibuli-
Basa-
FC Gareji Sagarejo-
Gori-
Bolnisi-
WIT Georgia-
Samgurali-
Iberia 1999 2-
Telavi-
Merani Martvili-
Odishi 1919-
Guria-
Dinamo Tbilisi-
Samtredia-
Shturmi-
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi-
Dila Gori-
Iveria Khashuri-
Torpedo Kutaisi-
FC Tbilisi 2025-
FC Rustavi-
Samtskhe-
Gagra-
1/8-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-