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Samtredia vs Telavi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium, Samtredia
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Samtredia host Telavi in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Samtredia at 1.83 goals for, 1.34 against; Telavi at 1.17 for, 0.93 against. Past meetings favor Telavi slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 7, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 0.94, favoring Telavi. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Samtredia
30%
Draws
28%
Telavi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Samtredia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Samtredia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Samtredia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Samtredia Clean Sheet 20%
Telavi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samtredia Telavi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 3 9
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.83 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Telavi vs Samtredia
0:3
May 24, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs Telavi
0:3
Apr 7, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Telavi vs Samtredia
2:0
Dec 2, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Telavi vs Samtredia
5:2
Sep 26, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samtredia vs Telavi
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samtredia 85 / 100
Telavi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samtredia Telavi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samtredia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samtredia scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Samtredia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Telavi let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Samtredia VS Telavi
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Samtredia

(Home)
10 Oct
Samtredia
3 : 0
Bolnisi
26 Sept
Samtredia
1 : 2
FC Rustavi
20 Sept
Samtredia
5 : 0
Merani Martvili
16 Sept
Kolkheti 1913
1 : 0
Samtredia
12 Sept
Samtredia
6 : 1
FC Gareji Sagarejo
Page 1 of 6

Telavi

(Away)
10 Oct
Dusheti
1 : 4
Telavi
20 Sept
Odishi 1919
1 : 1
Telavi
16 Sept
Telavi
1 : 1
Shturmi
12 Sept
Gori
2 : 2
Telavi
07 Sept
Telavi
0 : 3
Samtredia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 28 14 8 6 35:29 50
2 Telavi 28 12 10 6 33:26 46
3 Shturmi 28 12 10 6 31:23 46
4 Samtredia 28 12 4 12 51:40 40
5 Merani Martvili 28 10 7 11 31:36 37
6 Odishi 1919 28 9 8 11 30:37 35
7 Dusheti 28 10 5 13 31:41 35
8 Bolnisi 28 8 9 11 35:37 33
9 Gori 28 7 9 12 29:36 30
10 Kolkheti 1913 28 6 10 12 34:35 28
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)