Sport Picks

Georgia

Georgian Cup

Samtskhe

1 - 2

Gagra

Our Tip

Match Events

49'

Peikrishvili A.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Gagra advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Samtskhe

20%

Draws

38%

Gagra

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Samtskhe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Gagra come out ahead of Samtskhe on wins alone.
42% — that's where the model lands on Samtskhe taking it.
Gagra arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Gagra, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%

Samtskhe Clean Sheet 20%

Gagra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Samtskhe	Gagra
Matches Played	3	30
Wins	2	8
Draws	0	10
Losses	1	12
Goals Scored	2	1.13
Goals Conceded	0.5	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 Georgian Cup

Samtskhe vs Gagra

1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samtskhe 42 / 100

Gagra 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Samtskhe Gagra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gagra conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Samtskhe found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (3 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Samtskhe has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Samtskhe VS Gagra

2 Goals Scored 1.13

0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38

50% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Samtskhe

(Home)

26 Jun

Samtskhe

4 : 1

Didube

19 Jul

Samtskhe

0 : 1

Odishi 1919

20 Jun

Samtskhe

2 : 1

Betlemi Keda

Gagra

(Away)

15 Jul

Gagra

3 : 1

BKMA

11 Jul

Gagra

2 : 2

Urartu

24 Jun

Gagra

0 : 0

Samgurali

18 Jun

Meshakhte Tkibuli

1 : 1

Gagra

14 Jun

Gagra

2 : 1

Dinamo Tbilisi

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/32-finals

Guria6

Merani Tbilisi1

TBD-

Dinamo Tbilisi-

Kolkheti 1913-

TBD-

Zooveti Tbilisi0

Dusheti2

Samtredia-

TBD-

West Georgia0

Shturmi2

Torpedo Kutaisi 20

Margveti 20064

TBD-

Iberia 1999-

Dmanisi0

WIT Georgia3

TBD-

Samgurali-

Dinamo Sokhumi0

Gonio3

TBD-

Meshakhte Tkibuli-

Mertskhali1

Gori3

TBD-

Bolnisi-

FC Gardabani1

FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi5

TBD-

Dila Gori-

FC Rustavi 22

Orbi3

TBD-

Dinamo Batumi-

Merani Martvili 21

Iberia 1999 22

TBD-

Telavi-

Iveria Khashuri5

Betlemi Keda4

TBD-

Torpedo Kutaisi-

Merani Martvili-

TBD-

Gagra 21

Odishi 19192

Aragvelebi0

FC Tbilisi 20254

TBD-

FC Rustavi-

Skuri Tsalenjikha3

Dinamo Tbilisi 24

TBD-

Spaeri-

Basa2

Locomotive Tbilisi1

TBD-

FC Gareji Sagarejo-

Samtskhe4

Didube1

TBD-

Gagra-

1/16-finals

Guria1

Dinamo Tbilisi0

Kolkheti 19130

Dusheti1

Samtredia2

Shturmi1

Margveti 20061

Iberia 19993

WIT Georgia2

Samgurali3

Gonio1

Meshakhte Tkibuli2

Gori1

Bolnisi0

FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi0

Dila Gori1

Orbi1

Dinamo Batumi4

Iberia 1999 20

Telavi1

Iveria Khashuri1

Torpedo Kutaisi3

Merani Martvili1

Odishi 19192

FC Tbilisi 20250

FC Rustavi1

Dinamo Tbilisi 21

Spaeri5

Basa0

FC Gareji Sagarejo2

Samtskhe0

Gagra0

1/8-finals

Guria-

Dusheti-

Samtredia-

Iberia 1999-

Samgurali-

Meshakhte Tkibuli-

Gori-

Dila Gori-

Dinamo Batumi-

Telavi-

Torpedo Kutaisi-

Odishi 1919-

FC Rustavi-

Spaeri-

TBD-

Quarter-finals

TBD-

Semi-finals

TBD-

Final

TBD-

Samtskhe vs Gagra

Georgia

Samtskhe

Gagra

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Samtskhe

Gagra

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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