Sport Picks
Match Events
48'
48'
Peikrishvili A.
(Penalty)
86'
86'
Baghishvili G.
88'
88'
Goshteliani G.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
22%
31%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Samtskhe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Gagra come out ahead of Samtskhe on wins alone.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Samtskhe taking it.
- Gagra arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Gagra, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Samtskhe Clean Sheet 16%
Gagra Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Samtskhe | Gagra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 4 | 30 |
| Wins | 2 | 10 |
| Draws | 0 | 11 |
| Losses | 2 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 27, 2026 Georgian Cup
Samtskhe vs Gagra
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Samtskhe Compare
Top Goalscorer Baghishvili G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Gagra Compare
Top Goalscorer Goshteliani G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Samtskhe 57 / 100
Gagra 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Samtskhe Gagra
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Samtskhe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Gagra conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Samtskhe found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (4 games).
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Samtskhe has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Samtskhe VS Gagra
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Samtskhe
(Home) 27 Jul
Samtskhe
1 : 2 Gagra
26 Jun
Samtskhe
4 : 1 Didube
19 Jul
Samtskhe
0 : 1 Odishi 1919
20 Jun
Samtskhe
2 : 1 Betlemi Keda
27 Jul
Samtskhe
1 : 2 Gagra
26 Jun
Samtskhe
4 : 1 Didube
19 Jul
Samtskhe
0 : 1 Odishi 1919
20 Jun
Samtskhe
2 : 1 Betlemi Keda
Gagra
(Away) 19 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1 Meshakhte Tkibuli
14 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
4 : 0 Gagra
10 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1 Torpedo Kutaisi
05 Sept
Dila Gori
1 : 0 Gagra
31 Aug
Gagra
2 : 0 Iberia 1999
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
4 : 0 Gagra
05 Sept
Dila Gori
1 : 0 Gagra
22 Aug
FC Rustavi
3 : 0 Gagra
08 Aug
Dinamo Batumi
2 : 2 Gagra
02 Aug
FC Gareji Sagarejo
1 : 4 Gagra
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Basa 2
Locomotive Tbilisi 1
TBD -
FC Gareji Sagarejo -
Samtskhe 4
Didube 1
TBD -
Gagra -
Guria 6
Merani Tbilisi 1
TBD -
Dinamo Tbilisi -
Kolkheti 1913 -
TBD -
Zooveti Tbilisi 0
Dusheti 2
Mertskhali 1
Gori 3
TBD -
Bolnisi -
FC Gardabani 1
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 5
TBD -
Dila Gori -
Dmanisi 0
WIT Georgia 3
TBD -
Samgurali -
Dinamo Sokhumi 0
Gonio 3
TBD -
Meshakhte Tkibuli -
Iveria Khashuri 5
Betlemi Keda 4
TBD -
Torpedo Kutaisi -
Merani Martvili -
TBD -
Gagra 2 1
Odishi 1919 2
FC Rustavi 2 2
Orbi 3
TBD -
Dinamo Batumi -
Merani Martvili 2 1
Iberia 1999 2 2
TBD -
Telavi -
Samtredia -
TBD -
West Georgia 0
Shturmi 2
Torpedo Kutaisi 2 0
Margveti 2006 4
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
Aragvelebi 0
FC Tbilisi 2025 4
TBD -
FC Rustavi -
Skuri Tsalenjikha 3
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 4
TBD -
Spaeri -
1/16-finals
Basa 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo 2
Samtskhe 1
Gagra 2
Guria 1
Dinamo Tbilisi 0
Kolkheti 1913 0
Dusheti 1
Gori 1
Bolnisi 0
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 0
Dila Gori 1
WIT Georgia 2
Samgurali 3
Gonio 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli 2
Iveria Khashuri 1
Torpedo Kutaisi 3
Merani Martvili 1
Odishi 1919 2
Orbi 1
Dinamo Batumi 4
Iberia 1999 2 0
Telavi 1
Samtredia 2
Shturmi 1
Margveti 2006 1
Iberia 1999 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 0
FC Rustavi 1
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 1
Spaeri 5
1/8-finals
FC Gareji Sagarejo 1
Gagra 4
Guria 1
Dusheti 2
Gori 0
Dila Gori 2
Samgurali 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli 0
Torpedo Kutaisi 4
Odishi 1919 1
Dinamo Batumi 1
Telavi 0
Samtredia 2
Iberia 1999 0
FC Rustavi 3
Spaeri 1
Quarter-finals
Gagra 1
Dusheti 0
Dila Gori 2
Samgurali 1
Torpedo Kutaisi 2
Dinamo Batumi 4
Samtredia -
FC Rustavi -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
