Sport Picks
San Antonio FC vs Las Vegas Lights
USA
USL Championship Toyota Field, San Antonio, TX 
Match Events
6'
6'
Cuello E.
Assist: Hernandez J.
38'
38'
Probo G.
46'
46'
Sub
Hernandez J. In: Parano C.
Out: Hernandez J.
AI Match Summary
Las Vegas Lights in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Las Vegas Lights.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Antonio FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to San Antonio FC lately — more wins on the board than Las Vegas Lights.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on San Antonio FC taking it.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
San Antonio FC Clean Sheet 19%
Las Vegas Lights Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Antonio FC | Las Vegas Lights |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 19, 2026 USL Championship
San Antonio FC vs Las Vegas Lights
1:2
Aug 10, 2025 USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights vs San Antonio FC
1:1
Jun 8, 2025 USL Championship
San Antonio FC vs Las Vegas Lights
3:0
May 12, 2024 USL Championship
San Antonio FC vs Las Vegas Lights
1:1
Apr 7, 2024 USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights vs San Antonio FC
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Antonio FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Cuello E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Las Vegas Lights Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Okyere A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Antonio FC 36 / 100
Las Vegas Lights 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Antonio FC Las Vegas Lights
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: San Antonio FC scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.
Las Vegas Lights's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
San Antonio FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
San Antonio FC VS Las Vegas Lights
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
San Antonio FC
(Home) 19 Jul
San Antonio FC
1 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
12 Jul
San Antonio FC
2 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
05 Jul
San Antonio FC
0 : 0 Monterey Bay
25 Jun
Colorado Springs
1 : 2 San Antonio FC
13 Jun
Lexington
2 : 0 San Antonio FC
Page 1 of 7
19 Jul
San Antonio FC
1 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
12 Jul
San Antonio FC
2 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
05 Jul
San Antonio FC
0 : 0 Monterey Bay
24 May
San Antonio FC
2 : 1 Sacramento Republic
03 May
San Antonio FC
3 : 3 Colorado Springs
Page 1 of 4
Las Vegas Lights
(Away) 19 Jul
San Antonio FC
1 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
12 Jul
Monterey Bay
2 : 3 Las Vegas Lights
05 Jul
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 2 El Paso Locomotive
21 Jun
Las Vegas Lights
2 : 3 Orange County SC
14 Jun
Birmingham Legion
1 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
Page 1 of 6
19 Jul
San Antonio FC
1 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
12 Jul
Monterey Bay
2 : 3 Las Vegas Lights
14 Jun
Birmingham Legion
1 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
17 May
Spokane Velocity
1 : 0 Las Vegas Lights
10 May
New Mexico
3 : 1 Las Vegas Lights
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 28:15 | 35 |
| 2 | Charleston | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 32:24 | 27 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23:15 | 27 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | 24 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 19:19 | 23 |
| 6 | Rhode Island | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:17 | 21 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 22:29 | 21 |
| 9 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 12:14 | 20 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 16 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 19:29 | 15 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:27 | 13 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 23:46 | 8 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 27:19 | 31 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 22:19 | 28 |
| 3 | Colorado Springs | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 25 |
| 4 | New Mexico | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 24 |
| 5 | Sacramento Republic | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19:15 | 23 |
| 6 | FC Tulsa | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18:16 | 23 |
| 7 | Lexington | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:20 | 22 |
| 8 | El Paso Locomotive | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 27:25 | 22 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24:26 | 21 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 23:24 | 21 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 25:27 | 21 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 17:27 | 15 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
