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San Antonio FC vs Louisville City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Cup Toyota Field, San Antonio, TX
Wed, Sep 9, 2026
0 - 1
12:30 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

42'
Maldonado M.
63'
Sub
Sorto C. In: Ricol L.
Out: Sorto C.
67'
Sub
Serrano R. In: Wilson J.
Out: Serrano R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
San Antonio FC
35%
Draws
50%
Louisville City
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Louisville City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Louisville City have won more games recently than San Antonio FC.
  • Model gives Louisville City a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Louisville City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Louisville City, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
San Antonio FC Clean Sheet 18%
Louisville City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Antonio FC Louisville City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 10 6
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 USL Cup
San Antonio FC vs Louisville City
0:1
Aug 9, 2026 USL Championship
Louisville City vs San Antonio FC
1:1
Oct 20, 2024 USL Championship
San Antonio FC vs Louisville City
1:1
Apr 15, 2023 USL Championship
Louisville City vs San Antonio FC
1:0
Nov 14, 2022 USL Championship
San Antonio FC vs Louisville City
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Antonio FC 10 / 100
Louisville City 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Antonio FC Louisville City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Louisville City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Louisville City let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: San Antonio FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

San Antonio FC scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

San Antonio FC VS Louisville City
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Antonio FC

(Home)
11 Oct
Oakland Roots
0 : 0
San Antonio FC
04 Oct
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 0
San Antonio FC
30 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 7
Darmstadt
27 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 0
Tampa Bay
20 Sept
Sacramento Republic
0 : 0
San Antonio FC
Page 1 of 6

Louisville City

(Away)
10 Oct
Charleston
0 : 2
Louisville City
04 Oct
Hartford Athletic
0 : 1
Louisville City
25 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 2
Louisville City
19 Sept
Louisville City
2 : 1
Loudoun United
12 Sept
Louisville City
1 : 2
El Paso Locomotive
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Charlotte Independence 2
Hartford Athletic 4
Spokane Velocity 1
Colorado Springs 2
San Antonio FC 2
Miami FC 1
Tampa Bay 0
Louisville City 1
Semi-finals
Hartford Athletic 2
Colorado Springs 1
San Antonio FC 0
Louisville City 1
Final
Hartford Athletic 0
Louisville City 1