Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Antonio FC vs New Mexico - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Championship Toyota Field, San Antonio, TX
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Antonio FC host New Mexico in the USL Championship. Little to choose between these two on current form. New Mexico have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while San Antonio FC have conceded 1.27 and scored 1.07. Past meetings favor New Mexico slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 30, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.56) point toward New Mexico. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
San Antonio FC
35%
Draws
46%
New Mexico
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: New Mexico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • San Antonio FC haven't matched New Mexico's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans New Mexico's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
San Antonio FC Clean Sheet 15%
New Mexico Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Antonio FC New Mexico
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.07 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 USL Championship
New Mexico vs San Antonio FC
1:2
Mar 22, 2026 USL Championship
San Antonio FC vs New Mexico
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 USL Championship
New Mexico vs San Antonio FC
2:0
Sep 7, 2025 USL Championship
San Antonio FC vs New Mexico
0:1
Jul 27, 2025 USL Cup
San Antonio FC vs New Mexico
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Antonio FC 19 / 100
New Mexico 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Antonio FC New Mexico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Mexico Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Mexico has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

San Antonio FC's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: San Antonio FC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Antonio FC VS New Mexico
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

San Antonio FC

(Home)
04 Oct
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 0
San Antonio FC
30 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 7
Darmstadt
27 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 0
Tampa Bay
20 Sept
Sacramento Republic
0 : 0
San Antonio FC
12 Sept
Colorado Springs
2 : 1
San Antonio FC
Page 1 of 6

New Mexico

(Away)
04 Oct
New Mexico
2 : 1
Phoenix Rising
01 Oct
FC Tulsa
1 : 0
New Mexico
27 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 3
Sacramento Republic
20 Sept
Colorado Springs
0 : 0
New Mexico
17 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 4
New Mexico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 15 7 5 46:25 52
2 Detroit City 27 13 8 6 33:20 47
3 Charleston 26 14 4 8 52:31 46
4 Hartford Athletic 26 9 12 5 29:26 39
5 Rhode Island 26 11 5 10 39:29 38
6 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 27 11 5 11 28:27 38
7 Louisville City 26 10 7 9 43:42 37
8 Miami FC 28 9 9 10 38:45 36
9 Indy Eleven 27 9 7 11 33:33 34
10 Loudoun United 26 4 12 10 32:44 24
11 Birmingham Legion 26 4 11 11 36:43 23
12 Brooklyn FC 27 4 6 17 27:55 18
13 Sporting Jax 27 3 5 19 32:73 14
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 27 14 5 8 46:35 47
2 New Mexico 27 13 7 7 41:32 46
3 Lexington 28 13 5 10 49:33 44
4 Sacramento Republic 27 11 11 5 37:25 44
5 FC Tulsa 28 11 10 7 32:25 43
6 Colorado Springs 27 11 7 9 40:37 40
7 Orange County SC 27 10 9 8 36:42 39
8 San Antonio FC 27 9 11 7 29:29 38
9 Las Vegas Lights 27 10 6 11 35:38 36
10 Oakland Roots 27 8 10 9 33:35 34
11 Phoenix Rising 27 8 9 10 36:40 33
12 Monterey Bay 27 5 6 16 29:47 21
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)