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San Antonio FC vs Tampa Bay - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Championship Toyota Field, San Antonio, TX
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Match Events

56'
Cruz S.
61'
Sub
Sorto C. In: Ricol L.
Out: Sorto C.
63'
Sub
Cicerone R. In: Perez L.
Out: Cicerone R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
San Antonio FC
35%
Draws
45%
Tampa Bay
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tampa Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • San Antonio FC haven't matched Tampa Bay's recent run of results.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Tampa Bay taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
San Antonio FC Clean Sheet 20%
Tampa Bay Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Antonio FC Tampa Bay
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.1 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 USL Championship
San Antonio FC vs Tampa Bay
0:0
Jul 13, 2025 USL Championship
San Antonio FC vs Tampa Bay
1:0
Mar 16, 2024 USL Championship
Tampa Bay vs San Antonio FC
2:2
Sep 17, 2023 USL Championship
San Antonio FC vs Tampa Bay
3:3
Oct 8, 2017 USL Championship
San Antonio FC vs Tampa Bay
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Antonio FC 10 / 100
Tampa Bay 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Antonio FC Tampa Bay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tampa Bay Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

San Antonio FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

San Antonio FC's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Tampa Bay has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

San Antonio FC VS Tampa Bay
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

San Antonio FC

(Home)
11 Oct
Oakland Roots
0 : 0
San Antonio FC
04 Oct
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 0
San Antonio FC
30 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 7
Darmstadt
27 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 0
Tampa Bay
20 Sept
Sacramento Republic
0 : 0
San Antonio FC
Page 1 of 6

Tampa Bay

(Away)
10 Oct
Indy Eleven
1 : 3
Tampa Bay
03 Oct
Tampa Bay
1 : 2
Miami FC
27 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 0
Tampa Bay
19 Sept
Tampa Bay
4 : 0
Birmingham Legion
12 Sept
Hartford Athletic
3 : 1
Tampa Bay
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 28 16 7 5 49:26 55
2 Detroit City 28 14 8 6 34:20 50
3 Charleston 27 14 4 9 52:33 46
4 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 28 12 5 11 30:28 41
5 Louisville City 27 11 7 9 45:42 40
6 Hartford Athletic 27 9 12 6 30:28 39
7 Rhode Island 27 11 5 11 39:30 38
8 Miami FC 29 9 9 11 38:47 36
9 Indy Eleven 28 9 7 12 34:36 34
10 Loudoun United 27 5 12 10 34:44 27
11 Birmingham Legion 26 4 11 11 36:43 23
12 Brooklyn FC 27 4 6 17 27:55 18
13 Sporting Jax 27 3 5 19 32:73 14
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 28 15 5 8 48:36 50
2 New Mexico 28 14 7 7 44:33 49
3 Sacramento Republic 28 11 12 5 38:26 45
4 Lexington 28 13 5 10 49:33 44
5 FC Tulsa 28 11 10 7 32:25 43
6 Colorado Springs 28 11 8 9 41:38 41
7 Orange County SC 28 10 9 9 37:44 39
8 San Antonio FC 28 9 12 7 29:29 39
9 Las Vegas Lights 28 10 6 12 37:41 36
10 Phoenix Rising 28 9 9 10 39:42 36
11 Oakland Roots 28 8 11 9 33:35 35
12 Monterey Bay 28 5 6 17 30:50 21
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)