Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Antonio vs Aucas

Ecuador Ecuador

Copa Ecuador
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Antonio play Aucas in the Copa Ecuador. It looks like a close match. Recently, San Antonio averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. Aucas averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, San Antonio won 0, Aucas won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 21, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for San Antonio and 1.31 for Aucas. This points to a Aucas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
San Antonio
34%
Draws
43%
Aucas
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Aucas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • San Antonio picked up more points recently compared to Aucas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
San Antonio Clean Sheet 18%
Aucas Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Antonio Aucas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 14
Draws 13 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.14 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Copa Ecuador
San Antonio vs Aucas
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Antonio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Aucas Compare

Top Goalscorer Miranda B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Porozo S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Antonio 24 / 100
Aucas 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Antonio Aucas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Aucas or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

San Antonio attacking → ← attacking Aucas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Antonio scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Aucas let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

San Antonio went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Aucas lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 49
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00