Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Antonio vs EL Nacional

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Antonio play EL Nacional in the Serie B. It looks like a close match. Recently, San Antonio averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. EL Nacional averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.14 conceded. In past meetings, San Antonio won 1, EL Nacional won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for San Antonio and 0.81 for EL Nacional. This points to a San Antonio double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
San Antonio
33%
Draws
21%
EL Nacional
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: San Antonio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • San Antonio picked up more points recently compared to EL Nacional.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
San Antonio Clean Sheet 26%
EL Nacional Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Antonio EL Nacional
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 5
Draws 13 6
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.14 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Serie B
San Antonio vs EL Nacional
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Antonio Compare

Top Goalscorer Chala J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

EL Nacional Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Antonio 47 / 100
EL Nacional 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Antonio EL Nacional

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: San Antonio or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

San Antonio attacking → ← attacking EL Nacional

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Antonio scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

EL Nacional let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

San Antonio went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

EL Nacional lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 21
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nueve de Octubre1585219:1129
2Atletico FC1568117:1226
3Independiente Juniors1566317:1124
4CD Cuenca Juniors1565417:1823
5Vinotinto1555520:1320
6San Antonio1547418:1519
7LDU Portoviejo1554614:1919
8Cumbaya1546518:1618
9Dep. Santo Domingo1556412:1018
10Gualaceo1565413:1017
1122 de Julio153398:216
12EL Nacional1504119:261