Sport Picks
San Bartolome vs CD Santa Ursula
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 
Match Events
3'
3'
Zerene A.
31'
31'
Yunes A.
39'
39'
Yunes A.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
San Bartolome in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Bartolome.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Bartolome
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- CD Santa Ursula haven't matched San Bartolome's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans San Bartolome's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
San Bartolome Clean Sheet 20%
CD Santa Ursula Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Bartolome | CD Santa Ursula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 14 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.06 | 0.91 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Bartolome vs CD Santa Ursula
3:1
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Santa Ursula vs San Bartolome
0:0
Mar 16, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Santa Ursula vs San Bartolome
1:1
Oct 28, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Bartolome vs CD Santa Ursula
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Bartolome Compare
Top Goalscorer Yunes A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Castro K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
CD Santa Ursula Compare
Top Goalscorer Zerene A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Bartolome 40 / 100
CD Santa Ursula 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Bartolome CD Santa Ursula
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Bartolome Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: San Bartolome stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: CD Santa Ursula conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.75 goals.
San Bartolome found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (35 games).
Scoring Trends
San Bartolome VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
San Bartolome
(Home) 19 Sept
San Bartolome
4 : 2 Estrella
11 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
0 : 1 San Bartolome
10 May
Tenerife C
0 : 1 San Bartolome
03 May
San Bartolome
1 : 1 Lanzarote
25 Apr
San Bartolome
0 : 0 UD San Fernando
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
San Bartolome
4 : 2 Estrella
03 May
San Bartolome
1 : 1 Lanzarote
25 Apr
San Bartolome
0 : 0 UD San Fernando
11 Apr
San Bartolome
2 : 1 Villa Santa Brigida
28 Mar
San Bartolome
0 : 3 San Miguel
Page 1 of 4
CD Santa Ursula
(Away) 11 May
UD San Fernando
1 : 0 CD Santa Ursula
04 May
CD Santa Ursula
2 : 0 Union Viera
26 Apr
Estrella
1 : 1 CD Santa Ursula
17 Apr
CD Santa Ursula
2 : 1 San Miguel
11 Apr
Ibarra
1 : 0 CD Santa Ursula
Page 1 of 7
11 May
UD San Fernando
1 : 0 CD Santa Ursula
26 Apr
Estrella
1 : 1 CD Santa Ursula
11 Apr
Ibarra
1 : 0 CD Santa Ursula
29 Mar
Panaderia
2 : 1 CD Santa Ursula
16 Mar
Las Palmas B
2 : 0 CD Santa Ursula
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Palmas B | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 66:17 | 76 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 58:20 | 73 |
| 3 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 48:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Ibarra | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 49:40 | 59 |
| 5 | Mensajero | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 50:37 | 56 |
| 6 | Lanzarote | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 56:33 | 55 |
| 7 | Panaderia | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 45:39 | 50 |
| 8 | CD Marino | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 43:45 | 47 |
| 9 | Arucas | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 38:36 | 45 |
| 10 | San Bartolome | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 43:35 | 45 |
| 11 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 34:42 | 41 |
| 12 | Herbania | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 33:41 | 40 |
| 13 | CD Santa Ursula | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 29:42 | 40 |
| 14 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | CD Buzanada | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 27:54 | 32 |
| 16 | Estrella | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 30:57 | 30 |
| 17 | Los Llanos | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 25:52 | 28 |
| 18 | Union Viera | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 28:65 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
