Sport Picks
San Bartolome vs Estrella - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 
Match Events
5'
5'
Berriel A.
21'
21'
Vera A.
41'
41'
Damaso J.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 game between San Bartolome and Estrella finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Bartolome.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Bartolome
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and San Bartolome come out ahead of Estrella on wins alone.
- 43% — that's where the model lands on San Bartolome taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and San Bartolome have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
San Bartolome Clean Sheet 20%
Estrella Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Bartolome | Estrella |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 14 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Bartolome vs Estrella
4:2
May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Bartolome vs Estrella
1:0
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Estrella vs San Bartolome
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Bartolome Compare
Top Goalscorer Berriel A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vera A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Estrella Compare
Top Goalscorer Damaso J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vega R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Bartolome 58 / 100
Estrella 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Bartolome Estrella
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Bartolome Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.33 goals.
San Bartolome has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
San Bartolome scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Estrella has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
San Bartolome VS Estrella
1.25 Goals Scored 1.17
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
San Bartolome
(Home) 03 Oct
San Bartolome
1 : 1 Villa Santa Brigida
27 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1 San Bartolome
19 Sept
San Bartolome
4 : 2 Estrella
11 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
0 : 1 San Bartolome
10 May
Tenerife C
0 : 1 San Bartolome
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
San Bartolome
1 : 1 Villa Santa Brigida
19 Sept
San Bartolome
4 : 2 Estrella
03 May
San Bartolome
1 : 1 Lanzarote
25 Apr
San Bartolome
0 : 0 UD San Fernando
11 Apr
San Bartolome
2 : 1 Villa Santa Brigida
Page 1 of 3
Estrella
(Away) 10 Oct
Estrella
1 : 0 Los Llanos
04 Oct
UD San Fernando
3 : 0 Estrella
25 Sept
Estrella
1 : 1 Las Palmas C
19 Sept
San Bartolome
4 : 2 Estrella
12 Sept
Estrella
3 : 1 Villaverde Norte
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
UD San Fernando
3 : 0 Estrella
19 Sept
San Bartolome
4 : 2 Estrella
04 May
San Bartolome
1 : 0 Estrella
17 Apr
CD Buzanada
1 : 1 Estrella
06 Apr
Mensajero
3 : 2 Estrella
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Union Tenerife | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 2 | San Miguel | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Panaderia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:11 | 10 |
| 4 | UD San Fernando | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:2 | 9 |
| 5 | Mensajero | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 9 |
| 6 | Las Palmas C | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 7 | San Bartolome | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 8 |
| 8 | CD Marino | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 7 |
| 9 | Tenerife C | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 7 |
| 10 | Los Llanos | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 11 | Estrella | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 12 | Lanzarote | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 13 | Villa Santa Brigida | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 14 | Union Sur Yaiza | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 15 | Anaza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | 4 |
| 16 | CD Laguna | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6:12 | 1 |
| 17 | Villaverde Norte | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:12 | 1 |
| 18 | UD Playas de Sotavento | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:18 | 1 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)
