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San Bartolome vs Mensajero

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
San Bartolome
28%
Draws
22%
Mensajero
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: San Bartolome

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Mensajero have won more games recently than San Bartolome.
  • San Bartolome are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
San Bartolome Clean Sheet 68%
Mensajero Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Bartolome Mensajero
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 16
Draws 12 9
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Bartolome vs Mensajero
0:0
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Mensajero vs San Bartolome
2:0
Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Mensajero vs San Bartolome
0:1
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Bartolome vs Mensajero
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Bartolome 59 / 100
Mensajero 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Bartolome Mensajero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Bartolome has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: San Bartolome scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Mensajero let in goals in 48% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

San Bartolome VS Mensajero
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

San Bartolome

(Home)
10 May
Tenerife C
0 : 1
San Bartolome
03 May
San Bartolome
1 : 1
Lanzarote
25 Apr
San Bartolome
0 : 0
UD San Fernando
18 Apr
Arucas
0 : 0
San Bartolome
11 Apr
San Bartolome
2 : 1
Villa Santa Brigida
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Mensajero

(Away)
24 May
Mensajero
1 : 0
Tamaraceite
16 May
Tamaraceite
2 : 0
Mensajero
10 May
Mensajero
1 : 0
UD San Fernando
03 May
Arucas
0 : 1
Mensajero
26 Apr
Mensajero
2 : 0
Villa Santa Brigida
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Paso341813351:1967
2UD San Fernando34199649:2366
3Mensajero34189751:3163
4Tamaraceite34196956:3663
5Panaderia341510947:3355
6Las Palmas C341591058:4254
7Tenerife C3414101049:4652
8Villa Santa Brigida341551442:3550
9Lanzarote3412121045:3648
10Real Union Tenerife341291334:3245
11San Miguel341091537:4339
12CD Marino348151144:4039
13Union Sur Yaiza341081633:4338
14San Bartolome348121430:5536
15Arucas347121531:4733
16Herbania347111639:5832
17SD Tenisca34672132:6825
18Telde345101930:7125
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)