Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Bartolome vs San Miguel

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Santos A. V.
63' Event
Martin H.
75' Event
Santos A. V.

AI Match Summary

San Bartolome host San Miguel in the Tercera RFEF - Group 12. This one's hard to separate. San Bartolome have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against San Miguel's 1 scored and 1.38 conceded. Head-to-head, San Bartolome have won 2 to San Miguel's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.38 - 1.31) back San Bartolome to edge this. San Bartolome in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
San Bartolome
33%
Draws
27%
San Miguel
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: San Bartolome

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • San Miguel has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to San Bartolome.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for San Bartolome.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 12 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
San Bartolome Clean Sheet 68%
San Miguel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Bartolome San Miguel
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 12 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Bartolome vs San Miguel
0:3
Nov 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Miguel vs San Bartolome
1:2
Apr 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Miguel vs San Bartolome
0:0
Dec 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Bartolome vs San Miguel
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Bartolome Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

San Miguel Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos A. V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Martin H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Bartolome 50 / 100
San Miguel 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Bartolome San Miguel

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Bartolome scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

San Miguel let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

San Bartolome went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

San Miguel lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Bartolome VS San Miguel
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Paso341813351:1967
2UD San Fernando34199649:2366
3Mensajero34189751:3163
4Tamaraceite34196956:3663
5Panaderia341510947:3355
6Las Palmas C341591058:4254
7Tenerife C3414101049:4652
8Villa Santa Brigida341551442:3550
9Lanzarote3412121045:3648
10Real Union Tenerife341291334:3245
11San Miguel341091537:4339
12CD Marino348151144:4039
13Union Sur Yaiza341081633:4338
14San Bartolome348121430:5536
15Arucas347121531:4733
16Herbania347111639:5832
17SD Tenisca34672132:6825
18Telde345101930:7125