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San Bartolome vs Tenerife C Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026
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Match Events

10' Event
Suarez D.
45' Event
Darias G.
54' Event
Yunes A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 game between San Bartolome and Tenerife C finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tenerife C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
San Bartolome
30%
Draws
19%
Tenerife C
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Bartolome

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Tenerife C carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives San Bartolome a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
San Bartolome Clean Sheet 68%
Tenerife C Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Bartolome Tenerife C
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 13 10
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tenerife C vs San Bartolome
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Bartolome vs Tenerife C
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Bartolome Compare

Top Goalscorer Yunes A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Tenerife C Compare

Top Goalscorer Darias G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Suarez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Bartolome 95 / 100
Tenerife C 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Bartolome Tenerife C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Bartolome Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: San Bartolome stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Tenerife C's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Difficult form: Tenerife C registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Bartolome VS Tenerife C
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

San Bartolome

(Home)
27 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1
San Bartolome
19 Sept
San Bartolome
4 : 2
Estrella
11 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
0 : 1
San Bartolome
10 May
Tenerife C
0 : 1
San Bartolome
03 May
San Bartolome
1 : 1
Lanzarote
Page 1 of 6

Tenerife C

(Away)
25 Sept
Tenerife C
3 : 2
Anaza
19 Sept
Panaderia
3 : 3
Tenerife C
13 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0
Tenerife C
10 May
Tenerife C
0 : 1
San Bartolome
03 May
UD San Fernando
5 : 0
Tenerife C
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paso 34 18 13 3 51:19 67
2 UD San Fernando 34 19 9 6 49:23 66
3 Mensajero 34 18 9 7 51:31 63
4 Tamaraceite 34 19 6 9 56:36 63
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 47:33 55
6 Las Palmas C 34 15 9 10 58:42 54
7 Tenerife C 34 14 10 10 49:46 52
8 Villa Santa Brigida 34 15 5 14 42:35 50
9 Lanzarote 34 12 12 10 45:36 48
10 Real Union Tenerife 34 12 9 13 34:32 45
11 San Miguel 34 10 9 15 37:43 39
12 CD Marino 34 8 15 11 44:40 39
13 Union Sur Yaiza 34 10 8 16 33:43 38
14 San Bartolome 34 8 12 14 30:55 36
15 Arucas 34 7 12 15 31:47 33
16 Herbania 34 7 11 16 39:58 32
17 SD Tenisca 34 6 7 21 32:68 25
18 Telde 34 5 10 19 30:71 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)