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San Bartolome vs UD Playas de Sotavento - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Bartolome host UD Playas de Sotavento in the Tercera RFEF - Group 12. This has San Bartolome written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: San Bartolome at 1 goals for, 1.09 against; UD Playas de Sotavento at 0.67 for, 3.33 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 0.81, favoring San Bartolome. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
San Bartolome
30%
Draws
6%
UD Playas de Sotavento
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Bartolome

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • UD Playas de Sotavento haven't matched San Bartolome's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on San Bartolome taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
San Bartolome Clean Sheet 20%
UD Playas de Sotavento Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Bartolome UD Playas de Sotavento
Matches Played 32 6
Wins 9 0
Draws 16 1
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.09 3.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Bartolome 85 / 100
UD Playas de Sotavento 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Bartolome UD Playas de Sotavento

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Bartolome Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Playas de Sotavento let in goals in 100% of their last 6 matches.

San Bartolome went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

San Bartolome found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

Difficult form: UD Playas de Sotavento registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Bartolome VS UD Playas de Sotavento
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

San Bartolome

(Home)
03 Oct
San Bartolome
1 : 1
Villa Santa Brigida
27 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1
San Bartolome
19 Sept
San Bartolome
4 : 2
Estrella
11 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
0 : 1
San Bartolome
10 May
Tenerife C
0 : 1
San Bartolome
Page 1 of 7

UD Playas de Sotavento

(Away)
10 Oct
UD Playas de Sotavento
0 : 3
Real Union Tenerife
04 Oct
CD Marino
6 : 1
UD Playas de Sotavento
26 Sept
UD Playas de Sotavento
2 : 2
Los Llanos
20 Sept
UD San Fernando
5 : 0
UD Playas de Sotavento
12 Sept
UD Playas de Sotavento
0 : 2
Las Palmas C
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union Tenerife 5 4 0 1 8:3 12
2 San Miguel 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
3 Panaderia 5 3 1 1 14:11 10
4 UD San Fernando 4 3 0 1 11:2 9
5 Mensajero 4 3 0 1 4:2 9
6 Las Palmas C 5 2 2 1 9:6 8
7 San Bartolome 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
8 CD Marino 5 2 1 2 13:8 7
9 Tenerife C 5 2 1 2 10:9 7
10 Los Llanos 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
11 Estrella 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
12 Lanzarote 4 1 3 0 5:4 6
13 Villa Santa Brigida 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
14 Union Sur Yaiza 5 2 0 3 6:7 6
15 Anaza 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
16 CD Laguna 5 0 1 4 6:12 1
17 Villaverde Norte 5 0 1 4 4:12 1
18 UD Playas de Sotavento 5 0 1 4 3:18 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)