Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12

UD San Fernando

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

San Bartolome play UD San Fernando in the Tercera RFEF - Group 12. It looks like a close match. Recently, San Bartolome averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. UD San Fernando averaged 1.38 goals scored and 0.84 conceded. In past meetings, San Bartolome won 1, UD San Fernando won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for San Bartolome and 1.50 for UD San Fernando. This points to a UD San Fernando double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

San Bartolome

35%

Draws

39%

UD San Fernando

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: UD San Fernando

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

San Bartolome picked up more points recently compared to UD San Fernando.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.75 vs 1.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 61%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

San Bartolome Clean Sheet 16%

UD San Fernando Clean Sheet 19%

First Half Goal 55%

Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	San Bartolome	UD San Fernando
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	7	16
Draws	12	9
Losses	11	7
Goals Scored	0.83	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.57	0.84
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

San Bartolome vs UD San Fernando

Possession: 43% - 43% Cards: 4 - 2

0:0

Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

UD San Fernando vs San Bartolome

Possession: 59% - 51% Cards: 1 - 0

0:0

Jan 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

San Bartolome vs UD San Fernando

Possession: 47% - 42% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

UD San Fernando vs San Bartolome

Possession: 44% - 57% Cards: 4 - 2

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Bartolome 27 / 100

UD San Fernando 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

San Bartolome UD San Fernando

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: UD San Fernando or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +44.6%

5.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.9%

3.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

San Bartolome attacking → ← attacking UD San Fernando

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Bartolome scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

UD San Fernando let in goals in 50% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 0.25 goals.

San Bartolome went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

UD San Fernando lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 57

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Paso	34	18	13	3	51:19	67
2	UD San Fernando	34	19	9	6	49:23	66
3	Mensajero	34	18	9	7	51:31	63
4	Tamaraceite	34	19	6	9	56:36	63
5	Panaderia	34	15	10	9	47:33	55
6	Las Palmas C	34	15	9	10	58:42	54
7	Tenerife C	34	14	10	10	49:46	52
8	Villa Santa Brigida	34	15	5	14	42:35	50
9	Lanzarote	34	12	12	10	45:36	48
10	Real Union Tenerife	34	12	9	13	34:32	45
11	San Miguel	34	10	9	15	37:43	39
12	CD Marino	34	8	15	11	44:40	39
13	Union Sur Yaiza	34	10	8	16	33:43	38
14	San Bartolome	34	8	12	14	30:55	36
15	Arucas	34	7	12	15	31:47	33
16	Herbania	34	7	11	16	39:58	32
17	SD Tenisca	34	6	7	21	32:68	25
18	Telde	34	5	10	19	30:71	25