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San Carlos vs Cartagines

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division Estadio Carlos Ugalde Álvarez, Ciudad Quesada
Mon, Sep 21, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Carlos host Cartagines in the Primera Division. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Cartagines have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while San Carlos have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.03. Head-to-head, San Carlos have won 0 to Cartagines's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 22, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.38, favoring Cartagines. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
San Carlos
15%
Draws
44%
Cartagines
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cartagines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cartagines come out ahead of San Carlos on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cartagines have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
San Carlos Clean Sheet 17%
Cartagines Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Carlos Cartagines
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 10 16
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Primera Division
Cartagines vs San Carlos
2:1
Mar 2, 2026 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Cartagines
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Primera Division
Cartagines vs San Carlos
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Cartagines
0:2
Apr 17, 2025 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Cartagines
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Carlos 30 / 100
Cartagines 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Carlos Cartagines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Carlos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: San Carlos scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Cartagines has conceded goals in 76% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

San Carlos went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Carlos VS Cartagines
0.88 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

San Carlos

(Home)
12 Sept
Zeledon
0 : 2
San Carlos
07 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Sporting FC
30 Aug
San Carlos
1 : 2
Puntarenas FC
24 Aug
Alajuelense
0 : 1
San Carlos
15 Aug
San Carlos
1 : 0
Herediano
Page 1 of 6

Cartagines

(Away)
10 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 2
Cartagines
06 Sept
Puntarenas FC
1 : 3
Cartagines
30 Aug
Cartagines
1 : 0
Herediano
26 Aug
Cartagines
2 : 0
FAS
22 Aug
Escorpiones
1 : 4
Cartagines
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saprissa 7 6 0 1 16:6 18
2 Cartagines 7 5 0 2 15:8 15
3 Inter San Carlos 8 4 2 2 9:7 14
4 San Carlos 8 4 0 4 7:9 12
5 Sporting FC 7 3 2 2 10:5 11
6 Alajuelense 7 3 2 2 9:7 11
7 Puntarenas FC 8 2 2 4 7:13 8
8 Zeledon 8 2 2 4 6:12 8
9 Herediano 8 2 1 5 8:12 7
10 Escorpiones 8 1 1 6 6:14 4
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)