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San Carlos vs Herediano

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division Estadio Carlos Ugalde Álvarez, Ciudad Quesada
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
02:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Carlos host Herediano in the Primera Division. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. San Carlos have averaged 1 scored and 1.71 conceded recently, against Herediano's 0.88 scored and 0.38 conceded. Past meetings favor Herediano slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 1.29, favoring Herediano. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
San Carlos
33%
Draws
40%
Herediano
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Herediano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Herediano come out ahead of San Carlos on wins alone.
  • Model gives Herediano a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
San Carlos Clean Sheet 19%
Herediano Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Carlos Herediano
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 19
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.71 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.71 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Primera Division
Herediano vs San Carlos
1:0
Feb 23, 2026 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Herediano
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 Primera Division
Herediano vs San Carlos
3:1
Aug 25, 2025 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Herediano
2:2
Apr 26, 2025 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Herediano
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Carlos 28 / 100
Herediano 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Carlos Herediano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Carlos scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Herediano conceded in 45% of 29 recent games.

San Carlos has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

San Carlos VS Herediano
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.71 Goals Conceded 0.38
71% Over 1.5 25%
57% Over 2.5 25%
29% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

San Carlos

(Home)
26 Jul
San Carlos
0 : 3
Escorpiones
25 Apr
San Carlos
1 : 1
Zeledon
22 Apr
Cartagines
2 : 1
San Carlos
19 Apr
Herediano
1 : 0
San Carlos
13 Apr
San Carlos
4 : 0
Guadalupe
Page 1 of 6

Herediano

(Away)
24 Jul
Herediano
1 : 1
Puntarenas FC
18 Jul
Herediano
1 : 0
Saprissa
12 Jul
Alajuelense
0 : 1
Herediano
17 May
Herediano
2 : 0
Saprissa
14 May
Saprissa
2 : 1
Herediano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saprissa11005:13
2Escorpiones11003:03
3Cartagines11003:13
4Alajuelense10101:11
5Herediano10101:11
6Puntarenas FC10101:11
7Sporting FC10101:11
8Inter San Carlos10011:30
9San Carlos10010:30
10Zeledon10011:50
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)