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San Carlos vs Herediano Prediction & H2H Stats

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division Estadio Carlos Ugalde Álvarez, Ciudad Quesada
Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Cordoba R.
45'
Rivera R.
46'
Sub
Estrada K. In: Araya R.
Out: Estrada K.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division game between San Carlos and Herediano finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Carlos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
San Carlos
15%
Draws
28%
Herediano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Carlos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Herediano come out ahead of San Carlos on wins alone.
  • Model gives San Carlos a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
San Carlos Clean Sheet 68%
Herediano Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Carlos Herediano
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 11 18
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Herediano
1:0
Apr 19, 2026 Primera Division
Herediano vs San Carlos
1:0
Feb 23, 2026 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Herediano
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 Primera Division
Herediano vs San Carlos
3:1
Aug 25, 2025 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Herediano
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Carlos 95 / 100
Herediano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Carlos Herediano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Carlos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Carlos scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: San Carlos remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Herediano registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Carlos VS Herediano
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

San Carlos

(Home)
21 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Cartagines
12 Sept
Zeledon
0 : 2
San Carlos
07 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Sporting FC
30 Aug
San Carlos
1 : 2
Puntarenas FC
24 Aug
Alajuelense
0 : 1
San Carlos
Page 1 of 6

Herediano

(Away)
20 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 0
Herediano
13 Sept
Escorpiones
0 : 2
Herediano
05 Sept
Herediano
2 : 3
Zeledon
30 Aug
Cartagines
1 : 0
Herediano
27 Aug
Herediano
2 : 1
Antigua
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saprissa 9 7 0 2 20:10 21
2 Cartagines 9 6 0 3 18:10 18
3 Sporting FC 9 5 2 2 16:8 17
4 San Carlos 9 5 0 4 8:9 15
5 Alajuelense 9 4 2 3 15:10 14
6 Inter San Carlos 9 4 2 3 9:12 14
7 Puntarenas FC 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
8 Zeledon 9 2 2 5 7:14 8
9 Herediano 9 2 1 6 8:14 7
10 Escorpiones 9 1 1 7 6:15 4
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)