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San Carlos vs Puntarenas FC

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Carlos Ugalde Álvarez, Ciudad Quesada
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Rivera R.
17'
Samadian F.
27'
Sub
Mora A. In: Segura U.
Out: Mora A.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between San Carlos and Puntarenas FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Carlos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
San Carlos
17%
Draws
13%
Puntarenas FC
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: San Carlos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and San Carlos come out ahead of Puntarenas FC on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on San Carlos taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
San Carlos Clean Sheet 68%
Puntarenas FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Carlos Puntarenas FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 6
Draws 5 9
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 2 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2026 Primera Division
Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos
0:0
Jan 22, 2026 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Puntarenas FC
1:0
Nov 24, 2025 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Puntarenas FC
1:1
Jul 26, 2025 Primera Division
Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 Primera Division
Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Carlos Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguilar J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Puntarenas FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Carlos 77 / 100
Puntarenas FC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Carlos Puntarenas FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Carlos's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Puntarenas FC let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Puntarenas FC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

San Carlos VS Puntarenas FC
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Carlos

(Home)
26 Jul
San Carlos
0 : 3
Escorpiones
25 Apr
San Carlos
1 : 1
Zeledon
22 Apr
Cartagines
2 : 1
San Carlos
19 Apr
Herediano
1 : 0
San Carlos
13 Apr
San Carlos
4 : 0
Guadalupe
Page 1 of 6

Puntarenas FC

(Away)
24 Jul
Herediano
1 : 1
Puntarenas FC
26 Apr
Puntarenas FC
1 : 3
Saprissa
24 Apr
Alajuelense
5 : 2
Puntarenas FC
19 Apr
Puntarenas FC
1 : 2
Sporting FC
12 Apr
Zeledon
3 : 3
Puntarenas FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Herediano18122426:1038
2Saprissa18104434:1934
3Liberia18103524:1833
4Cartagines18102626:2032
5Alajuelense1875628:2026
6Sporting FC1864816:2122
7San Carlos1863921:2521
8Puntarenas FC18441022:2916
9Zeledon1828819:3014
10Guadalupe18351013:3714
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)