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San Clemente vs Marchamalo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Clemente host Marchamalo in the Tercera RFEF - Group 18. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. San Clemente have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.61 conceded recently, against Marchamalo's 1.53 scored and 1.09 conceded. Head-to-head, San Clemente have won 1 to Marchamalo's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.56) point toward Marchamalo. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
San Clemente
35%
Draws
40%
Marchamalo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Marchamalo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marchamalo come out ahead of San Clemente on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Marchamalo taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Marchamalo have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
San Clemente Clean Sheet 15%
Marchamalo Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Clemente Marchamalo
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 9 17
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
San Clemente vs Marchamalo
1:0
Nov 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs San Clemente
3:0
Mar 31, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs San Clemente
4:1
Nov 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
San Clemente vs Marchamalo
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Clemente 27 / 100
Marchamalo 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Clemente Marchamalo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marchamalo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Clemente scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Marchamalo let in goals in 62% of their last 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Solid form: San Clemente remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

San Clemente VS Marchamalo
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.86 Goals Conceded 0.63
86% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 13%
29% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Clemente

(Home)
04 Oct
Huracan de Balazote
3 : 5
San Clemente
27 Sept
San Clemente
0 : 2
Villacanas
19 Sept
La Solana
4 : 0
San Clemente
13 Sept
San Clemente
1 : 1
Noblejas
05 Sept
Villarrubia
1 : 1
San Clemente
Page 1 of 7

Marchamalo

(Away)
03 Oct
Marchamalo
2 : 2
CD Tarancon
27 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 2
Marchamalo
20 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 2
CD Guadalajara B
13 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 2
Marchamalo
05 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 0
CD Villa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchego Ciudad Real 5 5 0 0 8:2 15
2 Villarrobledo 5 3 2 0 8:1 11
3 Illescas 5 3 2 0 7:3 11
4 Torrijos 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
5 Toledo 5 3 1 1 12:6 10
6 UD Almansa 6 3 1 2 11:6 10
7 CD Tarancon 6 3 1 2 11:7 10
8 CD Villa 5 3 0 2 6:4 9
9 Marchamalo 6 2 2 2 11:10 8
10 Villacanas 5 2 1 2 6:4 7
11 Noblejas 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
12 San Clemente 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
13 Quintanar del Rey 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
14 Socuellamos 6 0 4 2 3:6 4
15 La Solana 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
16 Villarrubia 5 0 3 2 3:9 3
17 CD Guadalajara B 6 0 2 4 6:13 2
18 Huracan de Balazote 5 0 0 5 4:14 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)