Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Diego FC vs FC Dallas

USA USA

MLS Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Sub
Daniel In: Sirois J.
Out: Daniel
46'
Sub
Valiente J. In: Kamungo B.
Out: Valiente J.
50' Event
Alvarado Jr A.
Assist: Duah M.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between San Diego FC and FC Dallas finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Diego FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
San Diego FC
33%
Draws
27%
FC Dallas
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: San Diego FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Dallas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on San Diego FC taking it.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • San Diego FC have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
San Diego FC Clean Sheet 68%
FC Dallas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Diego FC FC Dallas
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 MLS
San Diego FC vs FC Dallas
1:0
Mar 15, 2026 MLS
FC Dallas vs San Diego FC
3:3
Jun 29, 2025 MLS
FC Dallas vs San Diego FC
2:3
May 4, 2025 MLS
San Diego FC vs FC Dallas
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Diego FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarado Jr A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

FC Dallas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Diego FC 50 / 100
FC Dallas 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Diego FC FC Dallas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SDI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 8:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: San Diego FC scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

FC Dallas let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

San Diego FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Diego FC VS FC Dallas
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

San Diego FC

(Home)
26 Jul
San Diego FC
1 : 0
FC Dallas
23 Jul
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0
San Diego FC
24 May
San Diego FC
2 : 4
Vancouver Whitecaps
17 May
San Diego FC
3 : 3
FC Cincinnati
14 May
San Diego FC
5 : 0
Austin FC
Page 1 of 7

FC Dallas

(Away)
26 Jul
San Diego FC
1 : 0
FC Dallas
23 Jul
Portland Timbers
2 : 2
FC Dallas
24 May
Colorado Rapids
1 : 2
FC Dallas
17 May
San Jose Earthquakes
2 : 3
FC Dallas
14 May
FC Dallas
2 : 3
Vancouver Whitecaps
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps16103337:1633
2Los Angeles FC18103534:1833
3San Jose Earthquakes17103435:2033
4Real Salt Lake1682628:2426
5Houston Dynamo1682623:2426
6FC Dallas1775532:2526
7St. Louis City1774623:2325
8Seattle Sounders1673619:2024
9Minnesota United1765619:2423
10Portland Timbers1763831:3221
11Los Angeles Galaxy1856724:2921
12San Diego FC1755731:2820
13Colorado Rapids17611026:2519
14Austin FC1745822:3517
15Sporting Kansas City17421118:4414
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC17123233:1239
2Inter Miami17114243:3037
3New England Revolution1692526:1929
4Chicago Fire1682630:2226
5New York City1875631:2426
6Charlotte FC1774628:2525
7FC Cincinnati1765641:4223
8New York Red Bulls1764726:3722
9DC United1757524:2722
10Orlando City1762928:4420
11Columbus Crew1754824:2619
12Toronto FC1838724:3217
13CF Montreal17431022:3315
14Philadelphia Union17341022:3113
15Atlanta United17331117:3012
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)