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San Diego FC vs Houston Dynamo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
02:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Diego FC host Houston Dynamo in the MLS. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. San Diego FC have averaged 1.55 scored and 1.93 conceded recently, against Houston Dynamo's 1.5 scored and 1.17 conceded. Past meetings favor Houston Dynamo slightly — 1-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 23, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.25 - 1.31) back Houston Dynamo to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
San Diego FC
35%
Draws
46%
Houston Dynamo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Houston Dynamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Houston Dynamo lately — more wins on the board than San Diego FC.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Houston Dynamo here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
San Diego FC Clean Sheet 18%
Houston Dynamo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Diego FC Houston Dynamo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 16
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.55 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs San Diego FC
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs San Diego FC
2:4
Jul 6, 2025 MLS
San Diego FC vs Houston Dynamo
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Diego FC 32 / 100
Houston Dynamo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Diego FC Houston Dynamo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Houston Dynamo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

San Diego FC scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Houston Dynamo let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: San Diego FC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Diego FC VS Houston Dynamo
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Diego FC

(Home)
27 Sept
Austin FC
3 : 3
San Diego FC
20 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
San Diego FC
14 Sept
San Diego FC
0 : 5
Philadelphia Union
10 Sept
San Diego FC
2 : 3
San Jose Earthquakes
05 Sept
Orlando City
1 : 0
San Diego FC
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Houston Dynamo

(Away)
27 Sept
Houston Dynamo
0 : 2
Sporting Kansas City
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 2
FC Cincinnati
13 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
1 : 0
Houston Dynamo
10 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 1
Real Salt Lake
05 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 0
Houston Dynamo
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Chicago Fire 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)