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San Diego FC vs Puebla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

Leagues Cup Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Soe O.
Assist: Tverskov J.
30' Event
Velasco K.
46'
Sub
Tverskov J. In: Valakari O.
Out: Tverskov J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
San Diego FC
35%
Draws
46%
Puebla
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Puebla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Puebla have won more games recently than San Diego FC.
  • Model gives Puebla a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Puebla arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor San Diego FC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
San Diego FC Clean Sheet 13%
Puebla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Diego FC Puebla
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.55 1.18
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2026 Leagues Cup
San Diego FC vs Puebla
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Diego FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Soe O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vazquez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Puebla Compare

Top Goalscorer Velasco K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mustre E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Diego FC 19 / 100
Puebla 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Diego FC Puebla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Puebla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puebla has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

San Diego FC's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

San Diego FC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

San Diego FC VS Puebla
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Diego FC

(Home)
10 Oct
New York Red Bulls
4 : 1
San Diego FC
27 Sept
Austin FC
3 : 3
San Diego FC
20 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
San Diego FC
14 Sept
San Diego FC
0 : 5
Philadelphia Union
10 Sept
San Diego FC
2 : 3
San Jose Earthquakes
Page 1 of 6

Puebla

(Away)
10 Oct
Puebla
1 : 1
Club Leon
27 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 0
Puebla
19 Sept
Puebla
1 : 1
Atlante
16 Sept
Puebla
0 : 1
Toluca
12 Sept
Necaxa
0 : 1
Puebla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Leon 3 3 0 0 6:3 9
2 Club America 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
3 Toluca 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
4 Monterrey 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
5 Cruz Azul 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
6 Juarez 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
7 Tigres UANL 3 3 0 0 2:2 6
8 Guadalajara Chivas 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
9 Santos Laguna 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
10 Pachuca 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
11 Atlas 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
12 Necaxa 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
13 Atlante 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
14 Atletico San Luis 3 0 0 3 5:10 1
15 UNAM Pumas 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
16 Queretaro 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
17 Club Tijuana 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
18 Puebla 3 0 0 3 4:11 0
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chicago Fire 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Austin FC 3 3 0 0 6:1 8
3 Columbus Crew 3 3 0 0 6:3 8
4 Real Salt Lake 3 2 0 1 8:1 7
5 Los Angeles FC 3 3 0 0 3:2 7
6 Charlotte FC 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
7 Portland Timbers 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
8 FC Cincinnati 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
9 FC Dallas 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
10 San Diego FC 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
11 Orlando City 3 2 0 1 5:5 5
12 Minnesota United 3 1 0 2 4:3 4
13 Nashville SC 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
14 Inter Miami 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
15 New York City 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
16 Seattle Sounders 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
17 Philadelphia Union 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
18 Vancouver Whitecaps 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)