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San Diego FC vs Seattle Sounders - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
02:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Diego FC host Seattle Sounders in the MLS. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. San Diego FC have averaged 1.6 scored and 1.93 conceded recently, against Seattle Sounders's 1.38 scored and 1.48 conceded. Past meetings favor San Diego FC slightly — 1-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 2.38) point toward Seattle Sounders. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
San Diego FC
35%
Draws
46%
Seattle Sounders
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Seattle Sounders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Seattle Sounders come out ahead of San Diego FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Seattle Sounders a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
San Diego FC Clean Sheet 10%
Seattle Sounders Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Diego FC Seattle Sounders
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.6 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs San Diego FC
1:1
May 29, 2025 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs San Diego FC
1:0
Apr 6, 2025 MLS
San Diego FC vs Seattle Sounders
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Diego FC 14 / 100
Seattle Sounders 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Diego FC Seattle Sounders

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Seattle Sounders Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: San Diego FC scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Seattle Sounders let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

San Diego FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Diego FC VS Seattle Sounders
1.75 Goals Scored 2
2.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

San Diego FC

(Home)
18 Oct
Los Angeles Galaxy
2 : 2
San Diego FC
15 Oct
San Diego FC
3 : 3
Houston Dynamo
10 Oct
New York Red Bulls
4 : 1
San Diego FC
27 Sept
Austin FC
3 : 3
San Diego FC
20 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
San Diego FC
Page 1 of 6

Seattle Sounders

(Away)
18 Oct
Seattle Sounders
1 : 1
CF Montreal
15 Oct
FC Dallas
1 : 0
Seattle Sounders
10 Oct
New England Revolution
0 : 3
Seattle Sounders
02 Oct
Seattle Sounders
2 : 1
Sporting Kansas City
27 Sept
Seattle Sounders
3 : 1
Minnesota United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 30 16 7 7 63:31 55
2 St. Louis City 30 14 9 7 56:41 51
3 FC Dallas 30 14 9 7 55:47 51
4 San Jose Earthquakes 30 13 9 8 52:42 48
5 Houston Dynamo 30 13 8 9 41:39 47
6 Los Angeles FC 31 12 10 9 48:33 46
7 Seattle Sounders 30 11 9 10 39:37 42
8 Los Angeles Galaxy 31 10 10 11 43:52 40
9 Colorado Rapids 30 11 6 13 41:41 39
10 Real Salt Lake 30 10 6 14 45:48 36
11 Portland Timbers 30 9 7 14 51:56 34
12 San Diego FC 30 8 10 12 53:56 34
13 Minnesota United 30 8 10 12 47:55 34
14 Austin FC 30 7 10 13 38:56 31
15 Sporting Kansas City 30 6 4 20 36:75 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 30 20 7 3 64:23 67
2 Inter Miami 30 15 10 5 73:51 55
3 New England Revolution 30 16 4 10 49:41 52
4 Chicago Fire 30 14 6 10 52:44 48
5 Charlotte FC 30 13 8 9 53:45 47
6 Philadelphia Union 30 13 7 10 61:48 46
7 Orlando City 30 12 5 13 58:70 41
8 New York Red Bulls 30 10 6 14 39:56 36
9 FC Cincinnati 29 9 9 11 60:70 36
10 Toronto FC 30 8 12 10 46:55 36
11 Columbus Crew 30 10 5 15 46:47 35
12 New York City 30 8 10 12 43:41 34
13 DC United 29 7 12 10 37:51 33
14 Atlanta United 30 8 6 16 37:51 30
15 CF Montreal 30 6 7 17 36:60 25
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)