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San Diego FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps

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MLS Snapdragon Stadium
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AI Match Summary

San Diego FC play Vancouver Whitecaps in the MLS. It looks like a close match. Recently, San Diego FC averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. Vancouver Whitecaps averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, San Diego FC won 1, Vancouver Whitecaps won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for San Diego FC and 1.94 for Vancouver Whitecaps. This points to a Vancouver Whitecaps double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
San Diego FC
44%
Draws
20%
Vancouver Whitecaps
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Vancouver Whitecaps has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to San Diego FC.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in MLS provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
San Diego FC Clean Sheet 10%
Vancouver Whitecaps Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Diego FC Vancouver Whitecaps
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 18
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.88 2
Goals Conceded 1.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 MLS
San Diego FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps
2:4
Nov 30, 2025 MLS
San Diego FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps
1:3
Jul 20, 2025 MLS
San Diego FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps
1:1
Jun 26, 2025 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC
3:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Diego FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Vazquez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zamble B. B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Vancouver Whitecaps Compare

Top Goalscorer White B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Caicedo B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Diego FC 34 / 100
Vancouver Whitecaps 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Diego FC Vancouver Whitecaps

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Diego FC scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Vancouver Whitecaps let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

San Diego FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Vancouver Whitecaps lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Diego FC VS Vancouver Whitecaps
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
4FC Dallas1574430:2225
5Los Angeles FC1573524:1724
6Seattle Sounders1373317:1124
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1555522:2220
10San Diego FC1545630:2717
11Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
12St. Louis City1444616:2016
13Portland Timbers1442822:2814
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City1432914:3611
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC14103131:1133
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1442822:3114
12Orlando City1542923:4414
13Toronto FC1435622:2914
14Atlanta United1432914:2311
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307