Sport Picks
San Diego Loyal vs Monterey Bay Prediction & H2H Stats
USA
USL Championship 2023 Torero Stadium, San Diego, CA 
Match Events
11'
11'
Lara A.
19'
19'
Doner M.
Assist: Murphy J.
26'
26'
Damus R.
Assist: Bodily B.
AI Match Summary
San Diego Loyal in this USL Championship 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Diego Loyal.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Diego Loyal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to San Diego Loyal lately — more wins on the board than Monterey Bay.
- San Diego Loyal are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship 2023 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and San Diego Loyal have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
San Diego Loyal Clean Sheet 19%
Monterey Bay Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Diego Loyal | Monterey Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 1, 2023 USL Championship
San Diego Loyal vs Monterey Bay
4:1
Sep 21, 2023 USL Championship
Monterey Bay vs San Diego Loyal
2:3
Sep 4, 2022 USL Championship
Monterey Bay vs San Diego Loyal
3:1
Aug 11, 2022 USL Championship
San Diego Loyal vs Monterey Bay
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Diego Loyal Compare
Top Goalscorer Damus R.
3 Goals Assists Leader Guzman C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Monterey Bay Compare
Top Goalscorer Doner M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Diego Loyal 85 / 100
Monterey Bay 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Diego Loyal Monterey Bay
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Diego Loyal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
San Diego Loyal scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Monterey Bay let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 3.75 goals.
San Diego Loyal has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Monterey Bay
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
San Diego Loyal
(Home) 23 Oct
San Diego Loyal
3 : 4 Phoenix Rising
15 Oct
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 2 San Diego Loyal
08 Oct
San Diego Loyal
4 : 2 Oakland Roots
05 Oct
El Paso Locomotive
0 : 0 San Diego Loyal
01 Oct
San Diego Loyal
4 : 1 Monterey Bay
Page 1 of 6
23 Oct
San Diego Loyal
3 : 4 Phoenix Rising
08 Oct
San Diego Loyal
4 : 2 Oakland Roots
01 Oct
San Diego Loyal
4 : 1 Monterey Bay
24 Sept
San Diego Loyal
1 : 1 Las Vegas Lights
03 Sept
San Diego Loyal
3 : 0 Birmingham Legion
Page 1 of 3
Monterey Bay
(Away) 27 Sept
Monterey Bay
2 : 3 Lexington
19 Sept
Charleston
1 : 0 Monterey Bay
06 Sept
Monterey Bay
1 : 1 Phoenix Rising
30 Aug
Monterey Bay
1 : 1 Sacramento Republic
22 Aug
Rhode Island
3 : 1 Monterey Bay
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Charleston
1 : 0 Monterey Bay
22 Aug
Rhode Island
3 : 1 Monterey Bay
16 Aug
Oakland Roots
1 : 1 Monterey Bay
06 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 0 Monterey Bay
01 Aug
Lexington
3 : 2 Monterey Bay
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 50:29 | 67 |
| 2 | Tampa Bay | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 60:39 | 63 |
| 3 | Charleston | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 47:43 | 59 |
| 4 | Memphis 901 | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 59:53 | 52 |
| 5 | Louisville City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:44 | 50 |
| 6 | Indy Eleven | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 46:38 | 49 |
| 7 | Birmingham Legion | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 44:53 | 46 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 43:44 | 41 |
| 9 | Detroit City | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 30:39 | 41 |
| 10 | FC Tulsa | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | 39 |
| 11 | Loudoun United | 34 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 36:61 | 25 |
| 12 | Hartford Athletic | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 40:79 | 18 |
Promotion - USL Championship 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacramento Republic | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 51:26 | 64 |
| 2 | Orange County SC | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 46:39 | 57 |
| 3 | San Diego Loyal | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 61:43 | 57 |
| 4 | San Antonio FC | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 63:38 | 56 |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49:42 | 53 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 54:41 | 48 |
| 7 | El Paso Locomotive | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:51 | 47 |
| 8 | New Mexico | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 51:49 | 46 |
| 9 | Rio Grande Valley FC Toros | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 43:48 | 43 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45:48 | 42 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:53 | 41 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 36:66 | 19 |
Promotion - USL Championship 2023 (Play Offs)
