Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Donato Tavarnelle vs Pro Livorno

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Zini A.
37' Event
Noccioli F.
41' Event
Salemmo S.

AI Match Summary

San Donato Tavarnelle in this Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Donato Tavarnelle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
San Donato Tavarnelle
6%
Draws
4%
Pro Livorno
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: San Donato Tavarnelle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to San Donato Tavarnelle lately — more wins on the board than Pro Livorno.
  • Model gives San Donato Tavarnelle a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
San Donato Tavarnelle Clean Sheet 68%
Pro Livorno Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Donato Tavarnelle Pro Livorno
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 13 5
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 0.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2022 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Pro Livorno
5:1
Nov 28, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Pro Livorno vs San Donato Tavarnelle
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Donato Tavarnelle Compare

Top Goalscorer Marzierli E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zini A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Pro Livorno Compare

Top Goalscorer Salemmo S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Donato Tavarnelle 95 / 100
Pro Livorno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Donato Tavarnelle Pro Livorno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pro Livorno let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

San Donato Tavarnelle found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (40 games).

Solid form: San Donato Tavarnelle remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

San Donato Tavarnelle VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

San Donato Tavarnelle

(Home)
03 May
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1
Seravezza Pozzi
26 Apr
Grosseto
0 : 2
San Donato Tavarnelle
19 Apr
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 0
Foligno
12 Apr
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 0
Ghiviborgo
02 Apr
Cannara
1 : 0
San Donato Tavarnelle
Page 1 of 8

Pro Livorno

(Away)
15 May
Pro Livorno
0 : 4
Pianese
08 May
Scandicci
2 : 2
Pro Livorno
01 May
Pro Livorno
0 : 4
Poggibonsi
27 Apr
Pro Livorno
1 : 0
Tiferno Lerchi
23 Apr
Mobilieri Ponsacco
2 : 0
Pro Livorno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Donato Tavarnelle34263586:3081
2Poggibonsi34235661:2874
3Arezzo341810665:4564
4Follonica Gavorrano34189763:3063
5Pianese341681058:4256
6Lornano Badesse341591047:4354
7Sporting Trestina3413101148:4349
8Flaminia341371449:5046
9Tiferno Lerchi3410121236:4842
10Montespaccato341191443:4442
11Mobilieri Ponsacco341191439:4042
12Sangiovannese349141137:3941
13Scandicci3410111336:4441
14FC Rieti34981739:5835
15Foligno34981746:6535
16Unipomezia34871938:6431
17Cannara34592027:5224
18Pro Livorno34562331:8421
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 (Play Out)