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San Donato Tavarnelle vs Rignanese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Donato Tavarnelle play Rignanese in the Serie D - Group E 2017/2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, San Donato Tavarnelle averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. Rignanese averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In past meetings, San Donato Tavarnelle won 1, Rignanese won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 4, 2018 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for San Donato Tavarnelle and 1.13 for Rignanese. This points to a Rignanese double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
San Donato Tavarnelle
30%
Draws
40%
Rignanese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rignanese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • San Donato Tavarnelle picked up more points recently compared to Rignanese.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
San Donato Tavarnelle Clean Sheet 21%
Rignanese Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Donato Tavarnelle Rignanese
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 13 7
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.75 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.73

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2018 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Rignanese
1:1
Oct 22, 2017 Serie D - Group E
Rignanese vs San Donato Tavarnelle
2:1
Apr 23, 2017 Serie D - Group D
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Rignanese
0:2
Dec 8, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Rignanese vs San Donato Tavarnelle
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Donato Tavarnelle 31 / 100
Rignanese 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Donato Tavarnelle Rignanese

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rignanese or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.9%
3.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

San Donato Tavarnelle attacking → ← attacking Rignanese

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Donato Tavarnelle scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

Rignanese let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

San Donato Tavarnelle went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Rignanese lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 37
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Albissola34216756:3069
2Sanremese34207758:3467
3FC Ponsacco341711649:3162
4Real Forte Querceta341612650:2760
5Viareggio34179857:4658
6Massese341511850:3356
7Savona341671153:3455
8Seravezza Pozzi341312944:3351
9San Donato Tavarnelle3412101241:3446
10Ghiviborgo3410141048:4544
11Ligorna3411101341:5043
12Sestri Levante341191435:3442
13Lavagnese341181535:4241
14Rignanese341081636:6038
15Scandicci341042042:5434
16Finale346121638:4930
17Argentina34492129:7121
18Valdinievole Montecatini34292319:7415