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San Donato Tavarnelle vs Siena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
San Donato Tavarnelle
20%
Draws
51%
Siena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Siena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Siena lately — more wins on the board than San Donato Tavarnelle.
  • Siena are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
San Donato Tavarnelle Clean Sheet 14%
Siena Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Donato Tavarnelle Siena
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 18
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 0.93 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Club Friendly
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Siena
1:1
Mar 29, 2026 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Siena
2:3
Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Siena vs San Donato Tavarnelle
0:2
Jan 5, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Siena vs San Donato Tavarnelle
2:0
Sep 8, 2024 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Siena
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Donato Tavarnelle 23 / 100
Siena 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Donato Tavarnelle Siena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Donato Tavarnelle scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Siena conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: San Donato Tavarnelle remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

San Donato Tavarnelle VS Siena
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

San Donato Tavarnelle

(Home)
04 Oct
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1
Mezzolara
27 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 1
San Donato Tavarnelle
20 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 : 2
Follonica Gavorrano
16 Sept
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 1
San Donato Tavarnelle
13 Sept
Sasso Marconi
1 : 3
San Donato Tavarnelle
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Siena

(Away)
07 Oct
Flaminia
0 : 3
Siena
04 Oct
Siena
2 : 1
Seravezza Pozzi
27 Sept
Lucchese
3 : 2
Siena
20 Sept
Siena
3 : 0
Montevarchi
16 Sept
Tau
3 : 2
Siena
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