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San Donnino vs Imolese Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group D 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Bongiorni M.
13' Event
Mattiolo G.
65' Event
Manes A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 game between San Donnino and Imolese finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Imolese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
San Donnino
30%
Draws
31%
Imolese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Donnino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • San Donnino haven't matched Imolese's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
San Donnino Clean Sheet 68%
Imolese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Donnino Imolese
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 8
Draws 10 7
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 0.9 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Serie D - Group D
San Donnino vs Imolese
1:2
Oct 22, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs San Donnino
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Donnino Compare

Top Goalscorer Bongiorni M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Imolese Compare

Top Goalscorer Mattiolo G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Manes A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Donnino 41 / 100
Imolese 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Donnino Imolese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Donnino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Imolese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

San Donnino has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Imolese lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Imolese
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Donnino

(Home)
05 May
Victor San Marino
3 : 2
San Donnino
28 Apr
San Donnino
0 : 2
Ravenna
21 Apr
Corticella
2 : 2
San Donnino
14 Apr
San Donnino
1 : 1
Sant'Angelo
07 Apr
Lentigione
2 : 3
San Donnino
Page 1 of 6

Imolese

(Away)
10 May
Imolese
0 : 2
Sasso Marconi
03 May
Imolese
1 : 0
Rovato Vertovese
26 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 1
Imolese
19 Apr
Imolese
0 : 1
Desenzano Calvina
12 Apr
Tropical Coriano
2 : 0
Imolese
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carpi 32 21 5 6 66:31 68
2 Ravenna 32 19 9 4 56:13 66
3 Corticella 32 18 3 11 59:40 57
4 Victor San Marino 32 17 6 9 44:37 57
5 Lentigione 32 16 8 8 49:31 56
6 Forli FC 32 16 7 9 48:35 55
7 Prato 32 12 8 12 37:41 44
8 Sangiuliano City 32 12 8 12 32:37 44
9 Fanfulla 32 11 10 11 28:35 43
10 Sant'Angelo 32 11 8 13 47:44 41
11 Aglianese Calcio 32 11 8 13 32:39 41
12 Imolese 32 12 6 14 31:33 40
13 Sammaurese 32 11 4 17 37:48 37
14 SCD Progresso 32 11 4 17 27:43 37
15 San Donnino 32 5 10 17 32:58 25
16 Certaldo 32 6 6 20 22:55 24
17 Mezzolara 32 5 6 21 23:50 21
18 Pistoiese 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 (Play Offs)