Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group D 2023/2024

San Donnino

1 - 0

Pistoiese

Our Tip

Match Events

29'

Davighi F.

90'

Devis K.

90'

Riccio G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 game between San Donnino and Pistoiese finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Donnino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

San Donnino

33%

Draws

40%

Pistoiese

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Pistoiese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Pistoiese carry the better recent record into this one.
40% — that's where the model lands on Pistoiese taking it.
Regular Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 24%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%

San Donnino Clean Sheet 16%

Pistoiese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	San Donnino	Pistoiese
Matches Played	30	41
Wins	5	25
Draws	10	9
Losses	15	7
Goals Scored	0	1.88
Goals Conceded	0	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2024 Serie D - Group D

San Donnino vs Pistoiese

Possession: 49% - 49% Cards: 2 - 4

1:0

Nov 19, 2023 Serie D - Group D

Pistoiese vs San Donnino

Possession: 57% - 50% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Donnino Compare

Top Goalscorer Davighi F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Pistoiese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Donnino 28 / 100

Pistoiese 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

San Donnino Pistoiese

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIS Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

San Donnino went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

San Donnino's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Pistoiese let in goals in 46% of their last 41 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pistoiese

0 Goals Scored 1.88

0 Goals Conceded 0.38

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Carpi	32	21	5	6	66:31	68
2	Ravenna	32	19	9	4	56:13	66
3	Corticella	32	18	3	11	59:40	57
4	Victor San Marino	32	17	6	9	44:37	57
5	Lentigione	32	16	8	8	49:31	56
6	Forli FC	32	16	7	9	48:35	55
7	Prato	32	12	8	12	37:41	44
8	Sangiuliano City	32	12	8	12	32:37	44
9	Fanfulla	32	11	10	11	28:35	43
10	Sant'Angelo	32	11	8	13	47:44	41
11	Aglianese Calcio	32	11	8	13	32:39	41
12	Imolese	32	12	6	14	31:33	40
13	Sammaurese	32	11	4	17	37:48	37
14	SCD Progresso	32	11	4	17	27:43	37
15	San Donnino	32	5	10	17	32:58	25
16	Certaldo	32	6	6	20	22:55	24
17	Mezzolara	32	5	6	21	23:50	21
18	Pistoiese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0