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San Donnino vs Sant'Angelo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Ferretti A.
(Penalty)
58' Event
Mariani E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
San Donnino
35%
Draws
40%
Sant'Angelo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sant'Angelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • San Donnino haven't matched Sant'Angelo's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
San Donnino Clean Sheet 19%
Sant'Angelo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Donnino Sant'Angelo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 9
Draws 10 11
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.9 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Serie D - Group D
San Donnino vs Sant'Angelo
1:1
Dec 3, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Sant'Angelo vs San Donnino
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Donnino Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Sant'Angelo Compare

Top Goalscorer Mariani E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Donnino 32 / 100
Sant'Angelo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Donnino Sant'Angelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sant'Angelo has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: San Donnino stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: San Donnino scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sant'Angelo
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

San Donnino

(Home)
05 May
Victor San Marino
3 : 2
San Donnino
28 Apr
San Donnino
0 : 2
Ravenna
21 Apr
Corticella
2 : 2
San Donnino
14 Apr
San Donnino
1 : 1
Sant'Angelo
07 Apr
Lentigione
2 : 3
San Donnino
Page 1 of 6

Sant'Angelo

(Away)
27 Sept
Pistoiese
3 : 0
Sant'Angelo
20 Sept
Sant'Angelo
0 : 0
Pavia
16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2
Sant'Angelo
13 Sept
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1
Varesina
06 Sept
Correggese
0 : 3
Sant'Angelo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carpi 32 21 5 6 66:31 68
2 Ravenna 32 19 9 4 56:13 66
3 Corticella 32 18 3 11 59:40 57
4 Victor San Marino 32 17 6 9 44:37 57
5 Lentigione 32 16 8 8 49:31 56
6 Forli FC 32 16 7 9 48:35 55
7 Prato 32 12 8 12 37:41 44
8 Sangiuliano City 32 12 8 12 32:37 44
9 Fanfulla 32 11 10 11 28:35 43
10 Sant'Angelo 32 11 8 13 47:44 41
11 Aglianese Calcio 32 11 8 13 32:39 41
12 Imolese 32 12 6 14 31:33 40
13 Sammaurese 32 11 4 17 37:48 37
14 SCD Progresso 32 11 4 17 27:43 37
15 San Donnino 32 5 10 17 32:58 25
16 Certaldo 32 6 6 20 22:55 24
17 Mezzolara 32 5 6 21 23:50 21
18 Pistoiese 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 (Play Offs)