Sport Picks
San Felipe vs D. Puerto Montt Prediction & H2H Stats
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Municipal de San Felipe, San Felipe 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Cardenas J. In: Nieto B.
Out: Cardenas J.
46'
46'
Sub
Guajardo Barrera B. In: Serrano K.
Out: Guajardo Barrera B.
46'
46'
Sub
Gonzalez K. In: Rojas L. A.
Out: Gonzalez K.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Ascenso game between San Felipe and D. Puerto Montt finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Felipe.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
20%
48%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: D. Puerto Montt
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- San Felipe haven't matched D. Puerto Montt's recent run of results.
- 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
San Felipe Clean Sheet 24%
D. Puerto Montt Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Felipe | D. Puerto Montt |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.66 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 30, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs D. Puerto Montt
1:0
Oct 14, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs D. Puerto Montt
0:1
Jun 3, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs San Felipe
1:1
Nov 11, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs D. Puerto Montt
0:1
Nov 6, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs San Felipe
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Felipe Compare
Top Goalscorer Garcia L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
D. Puerto Montt Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Felipe 33 / 100
D. Puerto Montt 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Felipe D. Puerto Montt
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick D. Puerto Montt Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
D. Puerto Montt let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
D. Puerto Montt lost 4 of their last 5 games.
San Felipe's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
San Felipe VS D. Puerto Montt
0.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
25% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
San Felipe
(Home) 30 Sept
San Felipe
0 : 1 San Luis
26 Sept
San Felipe
1 : 4 Copiapo
05 Sept
Magallanes
0 : 0 San Felipe
29 Aug
San Felipe
0 : 0 Deportes Santa Cruz
23 Aug
Curico Unido
2 : 0 San Felipe
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
San Felipe
0 : 1 San Luis
26 Sept
San Felipe
1 : 4 Copiapo
29 Aug
San Felipe
0 : 0 Deportes Santa Cruz
16 Aug
San Felipe
0 : 1 Cobreloa
08 Aug
San Felipe
0 : 0 Recoleta
Page 1 of 3
D. Puerto Montt
(Away) 29 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
0 : 1 Colo Colo
26 Sept
Nublense
2 : 1 D. Puerto Montt
22 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
2 : 0 Nublense
13 Sept
Magallanes
2 : 0 D. Puerto Montt
08 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
1 : 2 Rangers
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Nublense
2 : 1 D. Puerto Montt
13 Sept
Magallanes
2 : 0 D. Puerto Montt
30 Aug
Deportes Temuco
3 : 1 D. Puerto Montt
16 Aug
S. Wanderers
1 : 1 D. Puerto Montt
08 Aug
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0 D. Puerto Montt
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 43:27 | 45 |
| 2 | S. Wanderers | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40:26 | 44 |
| 3 | San Luis | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 39:29 | 44 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 41:38 | 40 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 42:26 | 38 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 36:33 | 38 |
| 7 | San Marcos de Arica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31:23 | 36 |
| 8 | U. Espanola | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 32:32 | 36 |
| 9 | Copiapo | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 37:39 | 34 |
| 10 | D. Puerto Montt | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 26:31 | 34 |
| 11 | Deportes Temuco | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40:35 | 32 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 33:30 | 28 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 22:38 | 24 |
| 14 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 26:38 | 22 |
| 15 | San Felipe | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 16:42 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23:40 | 18 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)
