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San Felipe vs Deportes Santa Cruz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Municipal de San Felipe, San Felipe
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Quiroz I. In: Brito P.
Out: Quiroz I.
59'
Sub
Munoz P. In: Fontana A.
Out: Munoz P.
64'
Sub
Barrios N. In: Alvarado F.
Out: Barrios N.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between San Felipe and Deportes Santa Cruz finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
San Felipe
30%
Draws
23%
Deportes Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Felipe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Deportes Santa Cruz's 1.1 goals per match outpaces what San Felipe have produced (0.64).
  • Model gives San Felipe a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
San Felipe Clean Sheet 20%
Deportes Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Felipe Deportes Santa Cruz
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 6
Draws 7 9
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.64 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs Deportes Santa Cruz
0:0
Apr 19, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Felipe
1:3
Oct 12, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs Deportes Santa Cruz
0:0
Jun 1, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Felipe
1:1
Aug 3, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs Deportes Santa Cruz
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Felipe 36 / 100
Deportes Santa Cruz 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Felipe Deportes Santa Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportes Santa Cruz let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Away concern: Deportes Santa Cruz has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: San Felipe scored in 43% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

San Felipe VS Deportes Santa Cruz
0.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

San Felipe

(Home)
04 Oct
San Felipe
0 : 2
Deportes Iquique
30 Sept
San Felipe
0 : 1
San Luis
26 Sept
San Felipe
1 : 4
Copiapo
05 Sept
Magallanes
0 : 0
San Felipe
29 Aug
San Felipe
0 : 0
Deportes Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6

Deportes Santa Cruz

(Away)
10 Oct
Deportes Temuco
2 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
03 Oct
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 2
San Marcos de Arica
27 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 3
O Higgins
24 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
14 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0
Recoleta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 26 13 9 4 44:27 48
2 San Luis 26 13 8 5 41:29 47
3 Magallanes 27 13 7 7 44:39 46
4 S. Wanderers 27 12 8 7 42:30 44
5 Antofagasta 26 11 8 7 44:26 41
6 Recoleta 27 11 8 8 39:36 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 26 10 9 7 33:24 39
8 Copiapo 26 10 7 9 40:39 37
9 U. Espanola 26 10 6 10 32:34 36
10 Deportes Temuco 27 9 8 10 42:37 35
11 D. Puerto Montt 26 10 4 12 26:34 34
12 Deportes Iquique 26 7 10 9 35:30 31
13 Curico Unido 27 7 9 11 24:40 27
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 27 4 10 13 28:42 22
15 San Felipe 26 5 7 14 16:44 22
16 Rangers 26 4 6 16 23:42 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)