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San Felipe vs S. Morning

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso 2025 Estadio Municipal de San Felipe
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Iturra M.
25'
Delgado M.
30'
Gonzalez Y.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso 2025 game between San Felipe and S. Morning finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Felipe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
San Felipe
22%
Draws
18%
S. Morning
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: San Felipe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • San Felipe haven't matched S. Morning's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans San Felipe's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
San Felipe Clean Sheet 68%
S. Morning Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Felipe S. Morning
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs S. Morning
2:0
Jun 15, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
S. Morning vs San Felipe
2:1
Sep 25, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
S. Morning vs San Felipe
0:1
May 10, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs S. Morning
2:2
Jul 29, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs S. Morning
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Felipe Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuellar D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vergara S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

S. Morning Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Felipe 68 / 100
S. Morning 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Felipe S. Morning

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Felipe found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

S. Morning's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

San Felipe went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Felipe VS S. Morning
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1U. De Concepcion30174941:2655
2Copiapo301410638:2052
3Cobreloa30148844:4250
4San Marcos de Arica301461039:3548
5Antofagasta301110943:3343
6D. Concepcion301271142:3843
7Rangers301013735:3543
8S. Wanderers301011941:3741
9San Luis30912930:3539
10Magallanes30981328:3335
11Recoleta308111128:3735
12Deportes Temuco307121134:3933
13Curico Unido307101332:3931
14Deportes Santa Cruz307101330:3931
15San Felipe30861630:3830
16S. Morning301081227:3629