Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Francisco vs Atletico Nacional

Panama Panama

LPF 2025 Estadio Agustín Muquita Sánchez, La Chorrera
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Pinzon D.
(Penalty)
23'
Carrasquilla E.
34'
Benitez G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this LPF 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
San Francisco
28%
Draws
22%
Atletico Nacional
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: San Francisco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to San Francisco lately — more wins on the board than Atletico Nacional.
  • Model gives San Francisco a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors San Francisco here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
San Francisco Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico Nacional Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Francisco Atletico Nacional
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 12 8
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 LPF
San Francisco vs Atletico Nacional
2:2
Jul 20, 2025 LPF
Atletico Nacional vs San Francisco
1:3
Apr 13, 2017 LPF
San Francisco vs Atletico Nacional
3:2
Feb 11, 2017 LPF
Atletico Nacional vs San Francisco
0:1
Oct 1, 2016 LPF
San Francisco vs Atletico Nacional
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Francisco Compare

Top Goalscorer Triana L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Atletico Nacional Compare

Top Goalscorer Velasquez C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rivera J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Francisco 59 / 100
Atletico Nacional 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Francisco Atletico Nacional

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Nacional has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

San Francisco scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: San Francisco remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

San Francisco VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

San Francisco

(Home)
26 Jul
Union Deportivo Universitario
1 : 2
San Francisco
02 May
San Francisco
5 : 2
Union Deportivo Universitario
26 Apr
Herrera
1 : 2
San Francisco
19 Apr
Union Cocle
1 : 0
San Francisco
11 Apr
Independiente
0 : 0
San Francisco
Page 1 of 7

Atletico Nacional

(Away)
08 Nov
Atletico Nacional
0 : 2
Independiente
31 Oct
Herrera
0 : 1
Atletico Nacional
26 Oct
Atletico Nacional
2 : 0
Union Deportivo Universitario
21 Oct
Veraguas
2 : 3
Atletico Nacional
12 Oct
San Francisco
2 : 2
Atletico Nacional
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Plaza Amador16113237:1736
2Alianza1684425:1928
3Sporting San Miguelito1667317:1225
4Arabe Unido1666418:1324
5UMECIT1665516:1823
6Tauro1634917:2813
Promotion - LPF 2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - LPF 2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Francisco1667321:1625
2Independiente1665522:1723
3Union Deportivo Universitario1647514:1719
4Veraguas1653819:2318
5Atletico Nacional1645722:3117
6Herrera16141110:277
Promotion - LPF 2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - LPF 2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)