Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Giorgio vs Virtus Matino

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Palmisano G.
34' Event
Mancini A.
74' Event
Di Pietro A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 game between San Giorgio and Virtus Matino finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Giorgio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
San Giorgio
20%
Draws
44%
Virtus Matino
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Virtus Matino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Virtus Matino haven't matched San Giorgio's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
San Giorgio Clean Sheet 14%
Virtus Matino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Giorgio Virtus Matino
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 10 4
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 0.87 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2022 Serie D - Group H
San Giorgio vs Virtus Matino
2:1
Sep 19, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Matino vs San Giorgio
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Giorgio Compare

Top Goalscorer Mancini A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Virtus Matino Compare

Top Goalscorer Palmisano G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Giorgio 31 / 100
Virtus Matino 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Giorgio Virtus Matino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virtus Matino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

San Giorgio's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

San Giorgio went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Giorgio VS Virtus Matino
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Giorgio

(Home)
29 May
A.C.D. Nardo
5 : 1
San Giorgio
22 May
Casertana
0 : 1
San Giorgio
15 May
San Giorgio
1 : 6
Audace Cerignola
08 May
Gravina
1 : 1
San Giorgio
04 May
San Giorgio
1 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
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Virtus Matino

(Away)
22 May
Virtus Matino
3 : 4
Brindisi
15 May
Rotonda
2 : 0
Virtus Matino
08 May
Virtus Matino
1 : 5
Bitonto
01 May
Francavilla
2 : 3
Virtus Matino
24 Apr
Virtus Matino
2 : 1
Nocerina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Audace Cerignola 38 26 10 2 83:27 88
2 Francavilla 38 22 5 11 62:44 71
3 Bitonto 38 19 8 11 56:40 65
4 Citta di Fasano 38 18 8 12 63:50 62
5 Nocerina 38 17 7 14 55:48 58
6 Gravina 38 16 8 14 51:49 56
7 Casertana 38 15 10 13 56:52 55
8 Sorrento 38 14 10 14 41:50 52
9 SS Nola 1925 38 14 9 15 50:58 51
10 Brindisi 38 14 7 17 42:55 49
11 Molfetta Calcio 38 11 15 12 48:45 48
12 Mariglianese 38 13 8 17 43:46 47
13 Casarano 38 12 11 15 37:49 47
14 Altamura 38 12 11 15 48:45 47
15 A.C.D. Nardo 38 12 9 17 59:67 45
16 Lavello 38 12 9 17 49:56 45
17 Rotonda 38 14 8 16 39:46 42
18 San Giorgio 38 9 14 15 30:44 41
19 Bisceglie 38 8 15 15 32:47 39
20 Virtus Matino 38 8 6 24 36:62 30
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 (Play Out)